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Turkish Super Lig | Gameweek 8
Oct 8, 2023 at 5pm UK
Recep Tayyip Erdogan Stadyumu

Kasimpasa
0 - 2
Fenerbahce


Ngoy (55'), Omeruo (87'), Ciftpinar (89')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Dzeko (6'), Tadic (45+3' pen.)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Turkish Super Lig clash between Kasimpasa and Fenerbahce, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Karagumruk 2-3 Kasimpasa
Sunday, October 1 at 11.30am in Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Spartak Trnava 1-2 Fenerbahce
Thursday, October 5 at 8pm in Europa Conference League

We said: Kasimpasa 0-1 Fenerbahce

Kasimpasa have lost just one of their first seven matches in the Super Lig, but the Apaches are yet to face a side who can cut through a defence like Fenerbahce. The Yellow Canaries made a raft of changes for the Conference League win in Slovakia on Thursday, meaning the league leaders' star names will be fresh and raring to extend the visitors' domestic winning run to eight matches. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fenerbahce win with a probability of 62.01%. A draw had a probability of 21.3% and a win for Kasimpasa had a probability of 16.73%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fenerbahce win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.91%) and 1-2 (9.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.09%), while for a Kasimpasa win it was 1-0 (5.14%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Fenerbahce would win this match.

Result
KasimpasaDrawFenerbahce
16.73% (-0.45 -0.45) 21.26% (-0.243 -0.24) 62.01% (0.692 0.69)
Both teams to score 51.28% (-0.144 -0.14)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.73% (0.28 0.28)45.27% (-0.281 -0.28)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.39% (0.26900000000001 0.27)67.61% (-0.26900000000001 -0.27)
Kasimpasa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.66% (-0.38200000000001 -0.38)40.34% (0.382 0.38)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.04% (-0.349 -0.35)76.96% (0.348 0.35)
Fenerbahce Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.96% (0.30499999999999 0.3)14.04% (-0.305 -0.31)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.39% (0.595 0.59)41.61% (-0.597 -0.6)
Score Analysis
    Kasimpasa 16.73%
    Fenerbahce 62.01%
    Draw 21.25%
KasimpasaDrawFenerbahce
1-0 @ 5.14% (-0.117 -0.12)
2-1 @ 4.58% (-0.101 -0.1)
2-0 @ 2.34% (-0.078 -0.08)
3-1 @ 1.39% (-0.045 -0.04)
3-2 @ 1.36% (-0.03 -0.03)
Other @ 1.93%
Total : 16.73%
1-1 @ 10.09% (-0.12 -0.12)
0-0 @ 5.67% (-0.068 -0.07)
2-2 @ 4.5% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)
Other @ 1%
Total : 21.25%
0-1 @ 11.12% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
0-2 @ 10.91% (0.11 0.11)
1-2 @ 9.91% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
0-3 @ 7.14% (0.148 0.15)
1-3 @ 6.48% (0.069 0.07)
0-4 @ 3.51% (0.111 0.11)
1-4 @ 3.18% (0.068 0.07)
2-3 @ 2.94%
2-4 @ 1.44% (0.016 0.02)
0-5 @ 1.38% (0.058 0.06)
1-5 @ 1.25% (0.04 0.04)
Other @ 2.74%
Total : 62.01%

How you voted: Kasimpasa vs Fenerbahce

Kasimpasa
4.3%
Draw
8.7%
Fenerbahce
87.0%
23
Head to Head
Jan 29, 2023 4pm
Gameweek 21
Fenerbahce
5-1
Kasimpasa
Valencia (37' pen., 39', 52', 69'), Batshuayi (90+2')
Fall (24')
Aug 15, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 2
Kasimpasa
0-6
Fenerbahce

Hadergjonaj (21'), Hajradinovic (42'), Bahoken (54')
Emre Yesilyurt (16')
King (8'), Valencia (34', 58'), Mor (45+3'), Guler (86', 90+2')
Kadioglu (42')
Feb 28, 2022 5pm
Gameweek 27
Kasimpasa
1-2
Fenerbahce
Muleka (67')
Eysseric (48'), Elmali (90+3'), Spajic (90+4'), Donk (90+7'), Mabil (90+7')
Mabil (90+7')
Zajc (6'), Szalai (90+1')
Dursun (86')
Oct 3, 2021 2pm
Gameweek 8
Fenerbahce
2-1
Kasimpasa
Berisha (16'), Gustavo (45+5')
Crespo (26'), Rossi (45+2'), Gustavo (59'), Aziz (73'), Novak (74')
Travnik (53')
Sadiku (35'), Bozok (62'), Aytac (76')
Apr 25, 2021 6.30pm
Gameweek 37
Fenerbahce
3-2
Kasimpasa
Valencia (15')
Hajradinovic (21'), Szalai (40'), Valencia (45+1' pen.), Hadergjonaj (82' pen.)
Kiese Thelin (33'), Kahveci (42'), Tekin (81')
rhs 2.0
Euro 2024 fixtures header
Saturday, June 22
 
5pm
 
8pm
Sunday, June 23
 
8pm
Monday, June 24
 
8pm
 
8pm
Tuesday, June 25
 
5pm
 
5pm
 
8pm
 
8pm
Wednesday, June 26
 
5pm
 
5pm
 
8pm
 
8pm
Saturday, June 29
Sunday, June 30
Monday, July 1
Tuesday, July 2
Friday, July 5
Saturday, July 6
Tuesday, July 9
Wednesday, July 10
Sunday, July 14
Tables header RHS

Group A

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Germany Germany22006
2 Switzerland Switzerland21104
3 Scotland flag Scotland20111
4 Hungary Hungary20020

Group B

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Spain Spain22006
2 Italy Italy21013
3 Albania national flag Albania20111
4 Croatia Croatia20111

Group C

TeamPWDLPTS
1 England flag England21104
2 Denmark Denmark20202
3 Slovenia Slovenia20202
4 Serbia Serbia20111

Group D

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Netherlands Netherlands21104
2 France France21104
3 Austria Austria21013
4 Poland Poland20020

Group E

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Romania Romania11003
2 Ukraine Ukraine21013
3 Slovakia Slovakia21013
4 Belgium Belgium10010

Group F

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Turkey Turkey11003
2 Portugal Portugal11003
3 Czech Republic Czech Republic10010
4 Georgia Georgia10010


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