Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fenerbahce win with a probability of 72.13%. A draw had a probability of 17.4% and a win for Kasimpasa had a probability of 10.51%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fenerbahce win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.2%) and 3-0 (9.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.26%), while for a Kasimpasa win it was 0-1 (3.63%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fenerbahce would win this match.