Turkish Super Lig | Gameweek 7

Oct 1, 2023 at 11.30am UK

Ataturk Olimpiyat Stadi (Istanbul)

Karagumruk
2 - 3
Kasimpasa

Ceccherini (43'), Sturaro (89')
Ceccherini (10'), Biraschi (81'), Atakan Kesgin (84')

FT(HT: 1-3)

Ceccherini (3' og.), Kara (6', 34')
Ozcan (45+1'), Omeruo (84'), Cetinkaya (84')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Turkish Super Lig clash between Fatih Karagumruk and Kasimpasa, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Fatih Karagumruk

All competitions

Last Game: Pendikspor 1-1 Karagumruk
Saturday, September 23 at 3pm in Turkish Super Lig

Goals
for

Top scorers

Kasimpasa

All competitions

Last Game: Kasimpasa 2-1 Adana Demirspor
Sunday, September 24 at 6pm in Turkish Super Lig

Goals
for

We said: Fatih Karagumruk 1-1 Kasimpasa

Fatih Karagumruk have a very impressive recent record against Kasimpasa, but they have made a slow start to the season, collecting just two points from their opening three away games. The visitors have drawn their other two away games this season, and it would not be a surprise if the spoils are shared again on Sunday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kasimpasa win with a probability of 40.16%. A win for Fatih Karagumruk had a probability of 35.09% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Kasimpasa win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.32%) and 0-2 (6.26%). The likeliest Fatih Karagumruk win was 2-1 (8.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.57%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Kasimpasa would win this match.

Result
Fatih Karagumruk	Draw	Kasimpasa
35.09% ( -0.01)	24.76% ( 0.02)	40.16% ( -0.01)

Both teams to score 58.42% (

-0.08)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.28% (

-0.1)

44.72% (

0.1)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.92% (

-0.1)

67.09% (

0.1)

Fatih Karagumruk Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.11% (

-0.05)

24.89% (

0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.49% (

-0.07)

59.51% (

0.08)

Kasimpasa Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.78% (

-0.05)

22.23% (

0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.35% (

-0.07)

55.65% (

0.08)

Score Analysis

Fatih Karagumruk 35.09%

Kasimpasa 40.16%

Draw 24.76%

Fatih Karagumruk	Draw	Kasimpasa
2-1 @ 8.05% ( -0) 1-0 @ 7.69% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 5.35% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 3.73% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.8% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 2.48% 4-1 @ 1.3% ( -0) 4-2 @ 0.98% ( -0) Other @ 2.72% Total : 35.09%	1-1 @ 11.57% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 6.05% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 5.53% ( 0.02) 3-3 @ 1.41% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.2% Total : 24.76%	1-2 @ 8.7% ( -0) 0-1 @ 8.32% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 6.26% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 4.36% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 3.14% 2-3 @ 3.03% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 1.64% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 1.18% ( -0) 2-4 @ 1.14% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.39% Total : 40.16%