Given that struggling Degerfors have conceded 17 goals in their last three away games, all the signs point towards a comfortable win for Kalmar, who look set to pick up their third victory in four matches without any problems. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kalmar win with a probability of 82.21%. A draw had a probability of 11.9% and a win for Degerfors had a probability of 5.91%.

The most likely scoreline for a Kalmar win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (11.57%) and 1-0 (8.57%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.62%), while for a Degerfors win it was 0-1 (1.98%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Kalmar would win this match.

Result
Kalmar	Draw	Degerfors
82.21% ( -0.3)	11.88% ( 0.19)	5.91% ( 0.12)

Both teams to score 45.33% (

-0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

67.97% (

-0.43)

32.03% (

0.43)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

46.4% (

-0.51)

53.6% (

0.51)

Kalmar Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

94.19% (

-0.14)

5.8% (

0.14)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

77.68% (

-0.4)

22.32% (

0.4)

Degerfors Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

48.12% (

0.04)

51.88% (

-0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

14.07% (

0.02)

85.93% (

-0.02)

Score Analysis

Kalmar 82.2%

Degerfors 5.91%

Draw 11.88%

Kalmar	Draw	Degerfors
2-0 @ 12.19% ( 0.08) 3-0 @ 11.57% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 8.57% ( 0.13) 4-0 @ 8.24% ( -0.09) 2-1 @ 8.01% ( 0.06) 3-1 @ 7.6% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 5.41% ( -0.05) 5-0 @ 4.69% ( -0.09) 5-1 @ 3.08% ( -0.05) 3-2 @ 2.49% ( 0) 6-0 @ 2.23% ( -0.06) 4-2 @ 1.77% ( -0.01) 6-1 @ 1.46% ( -0.04) 5-2 @ 1.01% ( -0.02) 7-0 @ 0.91% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.98% Total : 82.2%	1-1 @ 5.62% ( 0.09) 0-0 @ 3.01% ( 0.07) 2-2 @ 2.63% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.61% Total : 11.88%	0-1 @ 1.98% ( 0.05) 1-2 @ 1.85% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.09% Total : 5.91%