League Two

League Two | Gameweek 38

May 3, 2023 at 7.45pm UK

Alexandra Stadium

Crewe
3 - 2
Bradford

Agyei (16', 43'), Long (90+11' pen.)
Williams (15'), Agyei (86'), Baker-Richardson (90+9')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Cook (46'), Walker (54')
Crichlow (8'), Banks (78')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's League Two clash between Crewe Alexandra and Bradford City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Crewe Alexandra

All competitions

Last Game: Crewe 2-1 Swindon
Saturday, April 29 at 3pm in League Two

Goals
for

Top scorers

Bradford City

All competitions

Last Game: Northampton 1-2 Bradford
Saturday, April 29 at 3pm in League Two

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Crewe Alexandra 1-2 Bradford City

Crewe's home form has been excellent to close out the season, but they now come up against a side determined to make a late push for promotion. Bradford have been superb in 2023 and should seal at least a playoff place before the final day here. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bradford City win with a probability of 49.17%. A draw had a probability of 27% and a win for Crewe Alexandra had a probability of 23.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bradford City win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.93%) and 1-2 (8.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.55%), while for a Crewe Alexandra win it was 1-0 (8.85%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood.

Result
Crewe Alexandra	Draw	Bradford City
23.8% ( 0.45)	27.03% ( 0.68)	49.17% ( -1.14)

Both teams to score 44.93% (

-1.37)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

40.86% (

-2.01)

59.14% (

2.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

20.42% (

-1.58)

79.57% (

1.58)

Crewe Alexandra Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

59.26% (

-0.71)

40.73% (

0.71)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

22.68% (

-0.64)

77.32% (

0.64)

Bradford City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.82% (

-1.38)

24.18% (

1.38)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.49% (

-2.01)

58.51% (

2.01)

Score Analysis

Crewe Alexandra 23.8%

Bradford City 49.17%

Draw 27.02%

Crewe Alexandra	Draw	Bradford City
1-0 @ 8.85% ( 0.49) 2-1 @ 5.64% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 3.97% ( 0.15) 3-1 @ 1.69% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 1.2% ( -0.08) 3-0 @ 1.19% ( 0.02) Other @ 1.27% Total : 23.8%	1-1 @ 12.55% ( 0.2) 0-0 @ 9.85% ( 0.73) 2-2 @ 4% ( -0.18) Other @ 0.61% Total : 27.02%	0-1 @ 13.98% ( 0.49) 0-2 @ 9.93% ( -0.05) 1-2 @ 8.91% ( -0.22) 0-3 @ 4.7% ( -0.22) 1-3 @ 4.22% ( -0.28) 2-3 @ 1.89% ( -0.17) 0-4 @ 1.67% ( -0.15) 1-4 @ 1.5% ( -0.17) Other @ 2.38% Total : 49.17%