Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Walsall win with a probability of 41.26%. A win for Crewe Alexandra had a probability of 32.42% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Walsall win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.69%) and 0-2 (7.24%). The likeliest Crewe Alexandra win was 1-0 (9.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.51%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood.