EFL Trophy | Group Stage
Oct 8, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
The People's Pension Stadium
Crawley3 - 4AFC Wimbledon
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Wycombe 1-0 Crawley
Saturday, October 5 at 3pm in League One
Saturday, October 5 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Salford City 1-0 AFC Wimbledon
Saturday, October 5 at 3pm in League Two
Saturday, October 5 at 3pm in League Two
We said: Crawley Town 1-0 AFC Wimbledon
While Crawley have struggled for results in recent weeks, we believe that they have the stronger squad compared to their opponents, who have also faced difficulties in recent outings, suggesting a win for the hosts. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AFC Wimbledon win with a probability of 46.95%. A win for Crawley Town had a probability of 28.88% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for an AFC Wimbledon win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.04%) and 0-2 (7.5%). The likeliest Crawley Town win was 2-1 (7.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.3%). The actual scoreline of 3-4 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that AFC Wimbledon would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Crawley Town | Draw | AFC Wimbledon |
28.88% ( 0.03) | 24.16% ( 0.01) | 46.95% ( -0.04) |
| Both teams to score 57.79% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.63% ( -0.02) | 44.36% ( 0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.26% ( -0.02) | 66.74% ( 0.02) |
| Crawley Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.38% ( 0.01) | 28.62% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 35.57% ( 0.01) | 64.42% ( -0.02) |
| AFC Wimbledon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.96% ( -0.03) | 19.03% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 49.39% ( -0.04) | 50.61% ( 0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
Crawley Town 28.88%
AFC Wimbledon 46.95%
Draw 24.16%
| Crawley Town | Draw | AFC Wimbledon |
| 2-1 @ 7.07% ( 0) 1-0 @ 6.82% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 4.26% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 2.95% ( 0)3-2 @ 2.45% ( 0)3-0 @ 1.78% ( 0)4-1 @ 0.92% ( 0)Other @ 2.64% Total : 28.88% | 1-1 @ 11.3% 2-2 @ 5.87% 0-0 @ 5.45% ( 0)3-3 @ 1.35% Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.16% | 1-2 @ 9.38% ( -0) 0-1 @ 9.04% 0-2 @ 7.5% ( -0)1-3 @ 5.19% ( -0)0-3 @ 4.15% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 3.24% ( -0)1-4 @ 2.15% ( -0)0-4 @ 1.72% ( -0)2-4 @ 1.35% ( -0)Other @ 3.25% Total : 46.95% |
How you voted: Crawley vs AFC Wimbledon
Crawley Town
42.9%Draw
14.3%AFC Wimbledon
42.9%28
Head to Head
Feb 20, 2024 7.45pm
Mar 18, 2023 3pm
Aug 20, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 5
Crawley
0-2
AFC Wimbledon
Form Guide
