Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wycombe Wanderers win with a probability of 43.33%. A win for Crawley Town had a probability of 32.64% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wycombe Wanderers win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.98%) and 2-0 (6.51%). The likeliest Crawley Town win was 1-2 (7.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.06%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Wycombe Wanderers would win this match.