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Brazil national football team
World Cup Qualifying - South America | Group Stage
Nov 20, 2024 at 12.45am UK
Arena Fonte Nova
Uruguay national football team

Brazil
vs.
Uruguay

Coverage of the World Cup Qualifying - South America Group Stage clash between Brazil and Uruguay.

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
World Cup Qualifying
Last Game: Brazil 4-0 Peru
Wednesday, October 16 at 1.45am in World Cup Qualifying - South America
Next Game: Venezuela vs. Brazil
Thursday, November 14 at 9pm in World Cup Qualifying - South America
Current CONMEBOL World Cup qualifying Standings P GD PTS
1Argentina101422
2Colombia10719
3Uruguay10716
4Brazil10616
5Ecuador10216
6Paraguay10013
7Bolivia10-1012
8Venezuela10-211
9Peru10-116
10Chile10-135
All competitions
World Cup Qualifying
Last Game: Uruguay 0-0 Ecuador
Wednesday, October 16 at 12.30am in World Cup Qualifying - South America
Next Game: Uruguay vs. Colombia
Saturday, November 16 at 12am in World Cup Qualifying - South America
Current CONMEBOL World Cup qualifying Standings P GD PTS
1Argentina101422
2Colombia10719
3Uruguay10716
4Brazil10616
5Ecuador10216
6Paraguay10013
7Bolivia10-1012
8Venezuela10-211
9Peru10-116
10Chile10-135

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Brazil win with a probability of 60.31%. A draw has a probability of 23.3% and a win for Uruguay has a probability of 16.36%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brazil win is 1-0 with a probability of 14.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (12.24%) and 2-1 (9.48%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (10.92%), while for a Uruguay win it is 0-1 (6.3%).

Result
BrazilDrawUruguay
60.31% (-0.7 -0.7) 23.33% (0.24 0.24) 16.36% (0.46 0.46)
Both teams to score 44.36% (0.256 0.26)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.83% (-0.172 -0.17)54.17% (0.171 0.17)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.42% (-0.143 -0.14)75.58% (0.14400000000001 0.14)
Brazil Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.35% (-0.31 -0.31)17.65% (0.311 0.31)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.74% (-0.541 -0.54)48.26% (0.542 0.54)
Uruguay Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
53.87% (0.512 0.51)46.13% (-0.512 -0.51)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
18.18% (0.395 0.4)81.82% (-0.395 -0.39)
Score Analysis
    Brazil 60.3%
    Uruguay 16.36%
    Draw 23.32%
BrazilDrawUruguay
1-0 @ 14.12% (-0.040000000000001 -0.04)
2-0 @ 12.24% (-0.17 -0.17)
2-1 @ 9.48% (0.0070000000000014 0.01)
3-0 @ 7.08% (-0.171 -0.17)
3-1 @ 5.48% (-0.052 -0.05)
4-0 @ 3.07% (-0.106 -0.11)
4-1 @ 2.38% (-0.047 -0.05)
3-2 @ 2.12% (0.011 0.01)
5-0 @ 1.07% (-0.049 -0.05)
4-2 @ 0.92% (-0.005 -0.01)
Other @ 2.35%
Total : 60.3%
1-1 @ 10.92% (0.12 0.12)
0-0 @ 8.14% (0.055 0.05)
2-2 @ 3.67% (0.055 0.05)
Other @ 0.6%
Total : 23.32%
0-1 @ 6.3% (0.131 0.13)
1-2 @ 4.23% (0.106 0.11)
0-2 @ 2.44% (0.085 0.09)
1-3 @ 1.09% (0.042 0.04)
2-3 @ 0.95% (0.028 0.03)
Other @ 1.37%
Total : 16.36%

Head to Head
Jul 7, 2024 2am
Quarter-Finals
Uruguay
0-0
Brazil
(Aggregate 0-0 | Uruguay win 4-2 on penalties)
Ugarte (51'), de la Cruz (60')
Nandez (74')
Paqueta (39'), Gomes (64')
Oct 18, 2023 1am
Group Stage
Uruguay
2-0
Brazil
Nunez (42'), De la Cruz (77')
Araujo (10'), Nunez (21'), Nandez (57')

Rodrygo (45+5'), Casemiro (71'), Ederson (77'), Jesus (83'), Cunha (89')
Oct 15, 2021 1.30am
Nov 17, 2020 11pm
Group Stage
Uruguay
0-2
Brazil
Arthur (33'), Richarlison (45')
Nov 16, 2018 8pm
International Friendlies
Brazil
1-0
Uruguay
Neymar (76' pen.)
Costa (40'), Walace (43')

Torreira (24'), Suarez (36'), Vecino (41'), Suarez (75'), Caceres (80'), Cavani (86')
rhs 2.0
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