CONCACAF Nations League | Quarter-Finals | 2nd Leg
Nov 20, 2024 at 2.30am UK
Estadio Nemesio Diez
Mexico4 - 0Honduras
Form, Standings, Stats
CONCACAF Nations League
Last Game: Honduras 2-0 Mexico
Saturday, November 16 at 2am in CONCACAF Nations League
Saturday, November 16 at 2am in CONCACAF Nations League
| Current Group B Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Venezuela | 3 | 5 | 9 |
| 2 | Ecuador | 3 | 1 | 4 |
| 3 | Mexico | 3 | 0 | 4 |
| 4 | Jamaica | 3 | -6 | 0 |
We said: Mexico 2-0 Honduras (Mexico advance on penalties)
Playing in Mexico always seems to be the great equaliser in favour of El Tri, and we expect Aguirre to put together a solid tactical plan, enabling his team to get back into this tie and advance. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mexico win with a probability of 45.76%. A win for Honduras had a probability of 27.61% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mexico win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.97%) and 2-0 (8.61%). The likeliest Honduras win was 0-1 (8.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.6%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Mexico would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Mexico | Draw | Honduras |
45.76% ( -0.08) | 26.62% ( -0.02) | 27.61% ( 0.09) |
| Both teams to score 49.13% ( 0.11) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.72% ( 0.11) | 55.27% ( -0.12) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.5% ( 0.09) | 76.5% ( -0.1) |
| Mexico Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.9% ( 0.01) | 24.1% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 41.61% ( 0.02) | 58.39% ( -0.02) |
| Honduras Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.73% ( 0.13) | 35.27% ( -0.14) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 27.97% ( 0.14) | 72.02% ( -0.14) |
| Score Analysis |
Mexico 45.76%
Honduras 27.61%
Draw 26.62%
| Mexico | Draw | Honduras |
| 1-0 @ 12.09% ( -0.05) 2-1 @ 8.97% ( 0)2-0 @ 8.61% ( -0.03)3-1 @ 4.25% ( 0)3-0 @ 4.08% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 2.22% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 1.51% ( 0)4-0 @ 1.45% ( -0)Other @ 2.58% Total : 45.76% | 1-1 @ 12.6% 0-0 @ 8.5% ( -0.04)2-2 @ 4.67% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.85% Total : 26.62% | 0-1 @ 8.86% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 6.57% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 4.62% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 2.28% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 1.62% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 1.6% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.06% Total : 27.61% |
How you voted: Mexico vs Honduras
Mexico
57.7%Draw
15.5%Honduras
26.8%71
Head to Head
Nov 16, 2024 2am
Nov 22, 2023 2.30am
Quarter-Finals 2nd Leg
Mexico
2-0
Honduras
(Aggregate 2-2 | Mexico win 4-2 on penalties)
Mar 28, 2022 12.05am
