MX23RW : Wednesday, December 18 06:54:24| >> :60:558:558:
Mexico national football team
Copa America | Group Stage
Jul 1, 2024 at 1am UK
University of Phoenix Stadium
Ecuador national football team

Mexico
0 - 0
Ecuador


Montes (6'), Sanchez (50'), Chavez (73'), Vasquez (82'), Uriel (90+4')
FT

Caicedo (43'), Caicedo (90+6')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Copa America clash between Mexico and Ecuador, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Mexico

All competitions
Copa America
Last Game: Venezuela 1-0 Mexico
Thursday, June 27 at 2am in Copa America

Ecuador

All competitions
Copa America
Last Game: Ecuador 3-1 Jamaica
Wednesday, June 26 at 11pm in Copa America

We said: Mexico 0-2 Ecuador

 The Mexicans have been wasteful in front of goal throughout this tournament, and we believe those frustrations will boil over against a well-drilled Ecuadorian squad. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mexico win with a probability of 40.71%. A win for Ecuador had a probability of 31.99% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mexico win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.44%) and 2-0 (7.5%). The likeliest Ecuador win was 0-1 (9.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.91%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood.

Result
MexicoDrawEcuador
40.71% (0.108 0.11) 27.3% (-0.149 -0.15) 31.99% (0.033999999999999 0.03)
Both teams to score 49.28% (0.446 0.45)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.89% (0.561 0.56)56.11% (-0.568 -0.57)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.82% (0.452 0.45)77.18% (-0.45899999999999 -0.46)
Mexico Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.93% (0.322 0.32)27.06% (-0.328 -0.33)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.56% (0.42 0.42)62.43% (-0.428 -0.43)
Ecuador Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.57% (0.312 0.31)32.43% (-0.32 -0.32)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.05% (0.352 0.35)68.95% (-0.35899999999999 -0.36)
Score Analysis
    Mexico 40.7%
    Ecuador 31.99%
    Draw 27.29%
MexicoDrawEcuador
1-0 @ 11.47% (-0.14 -0.14)
2-1 @ 8.44% (0.045 0.04)
2-0 @ 7.5% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)
3-1 @ 3.68% (0.054 0.05)
3-0 @ 3.27% (0.019 0.02)
3-2 @ 2.07% (0.048 0.05)
4-1 @ 1.2% (0.029 0.03)
4-0 @ 1.07% (0.016 0.02)
Other @ 2.01%
Total : 40.7%
1-1 @ 12.91% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
0-0 @ 8.78% (-0.194 -0.19)
2-2 @ 4.75% (0.067 0.07)
Other @ 0.85%
Total : 27.29%
0-1 @ 9.88% (-0.127 -0.13)
1-2 @ 7.27% (0.036 0.04)
0-2 @ 5.57% (-0.024 -0.02)
1-3 @ 2.73% (0.037 0.04)
0-3 @ 2.09% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.78% (0.04 0.04)
Other @ 2.67%
Total : 31.99%

How you voted: Mexico vs Ecuador

Mexico
21.5%
Draw
19.8%
Ecuador
58.8%
177
Head to Head
Jun 6, 2022 12.30am
International Friendly
Mexico
0-0
Ecuador
Gallardo (66')
Caicedo (60')
> Preview
Oct 28, 2021 2am
Friendlies 1
Mexico
2-3
Ecuador
Alvarado (6'), Rodriguez (59')
Alvarez (50')
Quinonez (2'), Corozo (15'), Chala (75')
Estrada (49')
Jun 10, 2019 12am
International Friendlies
Mexico
3-2
Ecuador
Dos Santos (28'), Montes (63'), Rodriguez (77')
Mena (47'), Preciado (66')
Velasco (80'), Arboleda (88')
Jun 19, 2015 10pm
Group Stage
Mexico
1-2
Ecuador
> Match Report
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool15113131131836
2Chelsea16104237191834
3Arsenal1686229151430
4Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest168442119228
5Manchester CityMan City168352823527
6Bournemouth167452421325
7Aston Villa167452425-125
8Fulham166642422224
9Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton166642625124
10Tottenham HotspurSpurs1672736191723
11Brentford167273230223
12Newcastle UnitedNewcastle166552321223
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd166462119222
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham165472129-819
15Crystal Palace163761721-416
16Everton153661421-715
17Leicester CityLeicester163582134-1314
18Ipswich TownIpswich162681628-1212
19Wolverhampton WanderersWolves1623112440-169
20Southampton1612131136-255
> Premier League Full Table


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!