Current CONMEBOL World Cup qualifying Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Argentina	6	6	15
2	Uruguay	6	8	13
3	Colombia	6	3	12
4	Ecuador	6	2	11
5	Venezuela	6	3	9
6	Brazil	6	1	7
7	Paraguay	6	-2	5
8	Chile	6	-4	5
9	Bolivia	6	-10	3
10	Peru	6	-7	2

Both teams fielded weakened teams last time out, but they will step up a gear or two in their penultimate pre-Copa America friendly. Given the attacking ability available to either coach, the locals in Colorado should be treated to goals, with Bielsa' Uruguay likeliest to take victory. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mexico win with a probability of 46.98%. A draw had a probability of 26.8% and a win for Uruguay had a probability of 26.28%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mexico win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.05%) and 2-1 (8.98%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.61%), while for a Uruguay win it was 0-1 (8.85%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Uruguay would win this match.

Result
Mexico	Draw	Uruguay
46.98% ( 0.56)	26.75% ( -0.23)	26.28% ( -0.33)

Both teams to score 47.81% (

0.39)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

43.49% (

0.63)

56.52% (

-0.62)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.5% (

0.5)

77.51% (

-0.5)

Mexico Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.94% (

0.54)

24.06% (

-0.54)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.66% (

0.77)

58.34% (

-0.76)

Uruguay Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.95% (

0.06)

37.05% (

-0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.17% (

0.06)

73.84% (

-0.06)

Score Analysis

Mexico 46.97%

Uruguay 26.28%

Draw 26.75%

Mexico	Draw	Uruguay
1-0 @ 12.69% ( -0.11) 2-0 @ 9.05% ( 0.07) 2-1 @ 8.98% ( 0.08) 3-0 @ 4.3% ( 0.1) 3-1 @ 4.27% ( 0.11) 3-2 @ 2.12% ( 0.06) 4-0 @ 1.53% ( 0.06) 4-1 @ 1.52% ( 0.06) Other @ 2.53% Total : 46.97%	1-1 @ 12.61% ( -0.08) 0-0 @ 8.92% ( -0.22) 2-2 @ 4.46% ( 0.05) Other @ 0.77% Total : 26.75%	0-1 @ 8.85% ( -0.2) 1-2 @ 6.26% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 4.4% ( -0.09) 1-3 @ 2.07% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.48% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 1.46% ( -0.03) Other @ 1.77% Total : 26.28%