MX23RW : Wednesday, December 18 10:08:23| >> :60:869:869:
Panama national football team
CONCACAF Nations League | Semi-Finals
Mar 22, 2024 at 2.15am UK
AT&T Stadium
Mexico national football team

Panama
0 - 3
Mexico


Carrasquilla (85')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Alvarez (40'), Quinones (43'), Pineda (67')
Chavez (52')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's CONCACAF Nations League clash between Panama and Mexico, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Panama

All competitions
Last Game: Panama 3-1 Costa Rica
Tuesday, November 21 at 2am in CONCACAF Nations League

Mexico

All competitions
CONCACAF Nations League
Last Game: Mexico 2-3 Colombia
Sunday, December 17 at 12am in International Friendlies
Current Group B Standings P GD PTS
1Mexico356
2Qatar304
3Honduras3-34
4Haiti3-23

We said: Panama 1-1 Mexico (Panama advances on penalties)

 Just like in the 2023 final, we expect this to be a close game between two sides with plenty of experience in these sorts of games. Although it has been a while since Los Canaleros have got the better of El Tri, Panama have been a lot more consistent than their Thursday opponents, and it seems like they have learned a lot from that Gold Cup loss, which should serve them well in this contest. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Panama win with a probability of 38.58%. A win for Mexico had a probability of 34.12% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Panama win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.22%) and 2-0 (6.98%). The likeliest Mexico win was 0-1 (10.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.93%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood.

Result
PanamaDrawMexico
38.58% (0.763 0.76) 27.29% (0.127 0.13) 34.12% (-0.887 -0.89)
Both teams to score 49.8% (-0.51300000000001 -0.51)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.31% (-0.594 -0.59)55.69% (0.599 0.6)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.16% (-0.487 -0.49)76.84% (0.491 0.49)
Panama Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.95% (0.15799999999999 0.16)28.05% (-0.154 -0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.29% (0.198 0.2)63.71% (-0.194 -0.19)
Mexico Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.22% (-0.86500000000001 -0.87)30.78% (0.869 0.87)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.95% (-1.033 -1.03)67.05% (1.036 1.04)
Score Analysis
    Panama 38.57%
    Mexico 34.12%
    Draw 27.29%
PanamaDrawMexico
1-0 @ 10.97% (0.3 0.3)
2-1 @ 8.22% (0.064 0.06)
2-0 @ 6.98% (0.218 0.22)
3-1 @ 3.48% (0.042 0.04)
3-0 @ 2.96% (0.105 0.11)
3-2 @ 2.05% (-0.025 -0.02)
4-1 @ 1.11% (0.018 0.02)
4-0 @ 0.94% (0.037 0.04)
Other @ 1.88%
Total : 38.57%
1-1 @ 12.93% (0.049999999999999 0.05)
0-0 @ 8.64% (0.197 0.2)
2-2 @ 4.84% (-0.079000000000001 -0.08)
Other @ 0.89%
Total : 27.29%
0-1 @ 10.17% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-2 @ 7.62% (-0.158 -0.16)
0-2 @ 6% (-0.15 -0.15)
1-3 @ 2.99% (-0.136 -0.14)
0-3 @ 2.35% (-0.118 -0.12)
2-3 @ 1.9% (-0.078 -0.08)
Other @ 3.09%
Total : 34.12%

How you voted: Panama vs Mexico

Panama
29.2%
Draw
14.6%
Mexico
56.3%
48
Head to Head
Jul 17, 2023 12.30am
Final
Mexico
1-0
Panama
Gimenez (88')
Vasquez (11'), Montes (45+3'), Gallardo (54'), Alvarez (60')

Cummings (21'), Christiansen (26'), Carrasquilla (55'), Godoy (64'), Mosquera (90+6')
> Preview
Jun 18, 2023 11pm
Third-Place Playoff
Panama
0-1
Mexico

Quintero Medina (33'), Godoy (57'), Mejia (75'), Martinez (78'), Miller (90')
Gallardo (4')
Romo (28'), Herrera (31'), Araujo (45+4'), Vasquez (54'), Sanchez (81'), Reyes (84')
> Preview
Feb 3, 2022 3am
Third Round
Mexico
1-0
Panama
Herrera (46')
Davis (89'), Fajardo (90'), Cooper (90+1')
> Preview
Sep 9, 2021 1.05am
Third Round
Panama
1-1
Mexico
Blackburn (28')
Corona (76')
> Preview
Jul 1, 2021 2am
Friendlies 1
Mexico
3-0
Panama
> Preview
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool15113131131836
2Chelsea16104237191834
3Arsenal1686229151430
4Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest168442119228
5Manchester CityMan City168352823527
6Bournemouth167452421325
7Aston Villa167452425-125
8Fulham166642422224
9Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton166642625124
10Tottenham HotspurSpurs1672736191723
11Brentford167273230223
12Newcastle UnitedNewcastle166552321223
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd166462119222
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham165472129-819
15Crystal Palace163761721-416
16Everton153661421-715
17Leicester CityLeicester163582134-1314
18Ipswich TownIpswich162681628-1212
19Wolverhampton WanderersWolves1623112440-169
20Southampton1612131136-255
> Premier League Full Table


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!