MX23RW : Monday, November 18 03:27:28| >> :60:1494:1494:
Panama national football team
CONCACAF Nations League | League A
Oct 18, 2023 at 2am UK
Estadio Rommel Fernandez Gutierrez
Guatemala national football team

Panama
3 - 0
Guatemala

Carrasquilla (14'), Davis (48' pen.), Ayarza (89')
Yanis (90+2')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Gordillo (29')
Samayoa (47')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's CONCACAF Nations League clash between Panama and Guatemala, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Panama

All competitions
CONCACAF Nations League
Last Game: Curacao 1-2 Panama
Friday, October 13 at 10pm in CONCACAF Nations League

Guatemala

All competitions
CONCACAF Nations League
Last Game: Trin. & Tob. 3-2 Guatemala
Saturday, October 14 at 2am in CONCACAF Nations League

We said: Panama 1-0 Guatemala

 Panama know how to react when needing a victory, while this is relatively new territory for the Guatemalans, who have to be a little low on confidence after squandering a two-goal lead the last time out. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Panama win with a probability of 55.49%. A draw had a probability of 23.9% and a win for Guatemala had a probability of 20.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Panama win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.33%) and 2-1 (9.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.36%), while for a Guatemala win it was 0-1 (6.65%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Panama would win this match.

Result
PanamaDrawGuatemala
55.49% (0.83 0.83) 23.9% (-0.412 -0.41) 20.6% (-0.416 -0.42)
Both teams to score 49.86% (0.632 0.63)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.33% (1.145 1.15)50.67% (-1.141 -1.14)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.43% (1.002 1)72.57% (-0.999 -1)
Panama Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.88% (0.74499999999999 0.74)18.12% (-0.742 -0.74)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.93% (1.254 1.25)49.07% (-1.251 -1.25)
Guatemala Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.89% (0.222 0.22)39.11% (-0.219 -0.22)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.17% (0.207 0.21)75.82% (-0.203 -0.2)
Score Analysis
    Panama 55.48%
    Guatemala 20.6%
    Draw 23.9%
PanamaDrawGuatemala
1-0 @ 12.1% (-0.27 -0.27)
2-0 @ 10.33% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 9.71% (0.074999999999999 0.07)
3-0 @ 5.89% (0.149 0.15)
3-1 @ 5.53% (0.172 0.17)
3-2 @ 2.59% (0.095 0.09)
4-0 @ 2.51% (0.121 0.12)
4-1 @ 2.36% (0.127 0.13)
4-2 @ 1.11% (0.066 0.07)
Other @ 3.35%
Total : 55.48%
1-1 @ 11.36% (-0.18 -0.18)
0-0 @ 7.09% (-0.331 -0.33)
2-2 @ 4.56% (0.062 0.06)
Other @ 0.9%
Total : 23.9%
0-1 @ 6.65% (-0.27 -0.27)
1-2 @ 5.33% (-0.054 -0.05)
0-2 @ 3.12% (-0.107 -0.11)
1-3 @ 1.67% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.43% (0.028 0.03)
0-3 @ 0.98% (-0.028 -0.03)
Other @ 1.42%
Total : 20.6%

How you voted: Panama vs Guatemala

Panama
61.1%
Draw
16.7%
Guatemala
22.2%
18
Head to Head
Sep 11, 2023 1.06am
League A
Guatemala
1-1
Panama
Santis (71')
Mejia (37'), Altan (90+1')
Davis (7' pen.)
Carrasquilla (2'), Christiansen (3'), Waterman Ruiz (10'), Blackman (25'), Fajardo (58'), Anderson (70')
> Preview
Mar 12, 2023 11.30pm
Friendlies 1
Guatemala
1-1
Panama
Harvey (18')
rhs 2.0
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