Friendlies 1

Sep 13, 2023 at 1am UK

Stade Rene Gaillard

Mexico
3 - 3
Uzbekistan

Jimenez (21', 81'), Uriel (88')
Angulo (26'), Sepulveda (57'), Cortizo (77')

FT(HT: 1-2)

Abdukhalikov (18'), Turgunboev (45+1'), Shukurov (90+2')
Aliqulov (38'), Nasrullayev (87')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's friendly clash between Mexico and Uzbekistan, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Mexico

All competitions

International Friendlies

Last Game: Mexico 2-2 Australia
Sunday, September 10 at 3am in International Friendlies

Current Group B Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Mexico	3	5	6
2	Qatar	3	0	4
3	Honduras	3	-3	4
4	Haiti	3	-2	3

Uzbekistan

Last Game: USA 3-0 Uzbekistan
Saturday, September 9 at 10.30pm in International Friendlies

We said: Mexico 3-0 Uzbekistan

In the end, the USA managed to record a comfortable victory over Uzbekistan, and Mexico should have no problem brushing them aside either. Fresh off the back of winning their 12th Gold Cup, we expect the hosts to win Tuesday's game by a considerable margin. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mexico win with a probability of 48.34%. A draw had a probability of 26.3% and a win for Uzbekistan had a probability of 25.32%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mexico win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.28%) and 2-1 (9.13%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.44%), while for a Uzbekistan win it was 0-1 (8.48%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood.

Result
Mexico	Draw	Uzbekistan
48.34% ( 5.63)	26.34% ( -0.27)	25.32% ( -5.36)

Both teams to score 48.19% (

-2.69)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

44.38% (

-1.78)

55.62% (

1.78)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.22% (

-1.48)

76.78% (

1.48)

Mexico Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.96% (

1.93)

23.04% (

-1.93)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.14% (

2.75)

56.86% (

-2.75)

Uzbekistan Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.62% (

-5.19)

37.38% (

5.19)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.84% (

-5.49)

74.17% (

5.49)

Score Analysis

Mexico 48.34%

Uzbekistan 25.32%

Draw 26.34%

Mexico	Draw	Uzbekistan
1-0 @ 12.64% ( 1.49) 2-0 @ 9.28% ( 1.54) 2-1 @ 9.13% ( 0.36) 3-0 @ 4.54% ( 0.96) 3-1 @ 4.47% ( 0.41) 3-2 @ 2.2% ( -0.1) 4-0 @ 1.67% ( 0.42) 4-1 @ 1.64% ( 0.23) Other @ 2.78% Total : 48.34%	1-1 @ 12.44% ( -0.2) 0-0 @ 8.61% ( 0.58) 2-2 @ 4.49% ( -0.48) Other @ 0.79% Total : 26.34%	0-1 @ 8.48% ( -0.64) 1-2 @ 6.12% ( -1.04) 0-2 @ 4.17% ( -0.99) 1-3 @ 2.01% ( -0.7) 2-3 @ 1.47% ( -0.41) 0-3 @ 1.37% ( -0.58) Other @ 1.71% Total : 25.32%