MX23RW : Thursday, November 21 11:53:07| >> :60:30:30:
Uzbekistan national football team
International Friendly
Nov 16, 2022 at 1pm UK
Paxtakor Markaziy Stadion
Kazakhstan national football team

Uzbekistan
2 - 0
Kazakhstan

Erkinov (12'), Shomurodov (45')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Coverage of the International Friendlies International Friendly clash between Uzbekistan and Kazakhstan.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Costa Rica 1-2 Uzbekistan
Tuesday, September 27 at 7am in International Friendlies
All competitions
Last Game: Azerbaijan 3-0 Kazakhstan
Sunday, September 25 at 5pm in Nations League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Uzbekistan win with a probability of 48.74%. A win for Kazakhstan had a probability of 27.17% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Uzbekistan win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.49%) and 2-0 (7.97%). The likeliest Kazakhstan win was 1-2 (6.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.32%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Uzbekistan would win this match.

Result
UzbekistanDrawKazakhstan
48.74% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02) 24.1% (0.0079999999999991 0.01) 27.17% (0.010999999999999 0.01)
Both teams to score 56.71% (-0.016999999999996 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.8% (-0.026000000000003 -0.03)45.2% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.46% (-0.023999999999994 -0.02)67.54% (0.028999999999996 0.03)
Uzbekistan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.36% (-0.015999999999991 -0.02)18.64% (0.02 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.05% (-0.027999999999999 -0.03)49.95% (0.032000000000004 0.03)
Kazakhstan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.71% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)30.3% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.53% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)66.47% (0.010000000000005 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Uzbekistan 48.74%
    Kazakhstan 27.17%
    Draw 24.09%
UzbekistanDrawKazakhstan
2-1 @ 9.52% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
1-0 @ 9.49% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
2-0 @ 7.97% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-1 @ 5.33% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
3-0 @ 4.46% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
3-2 @ 3.18% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-1 @ 2.24% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
4-0 @ 1.87% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
4-2 @ 1.34% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 3.35%
Total : 48.74%
1-1 @ 11.32%
2-2 @ 5.68% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-0 @ 5.65% (0.0070000000000006 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.27% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 24.09%
1-2 @ 6.76% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-1 @ 6.74% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
0-2 @ 4.03% (0.0040000000000004 0)
1-3 @ 2.69%
2-3 @ 2.26% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-3 @ 1.6% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 3.08%
Total : 27.17%

How you voted: Uzbekistan vs Kazakhstan

Uzbekistan
66.7%
Draw
26.7%
Kazakhstan
6.7%
15
rhs 2.0
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