CONCACAF Nations League | Quarter-Finals | 1st Leg
Nov 17, 2023 at 3am UK
Estadio Ricardo Saprissa Ayma
Costa Rica0 - 3Panama
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Costa Rica 1-4 UAE
Tuesday, September 12 at 4pm in International Friendlies
Tuesday, September 12 at 4pm in International Friendlies
| Current Group C Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Panama | 3 | 2 | 7 |
| 2 | Costa Rica | 3 | 1 | 4 |
| 3 | Martinique | 3 | -2 | 3 |
| 4 | El Salvador | 3 | -1 | 2 |
Last Game: Panama 3-0 Guatemala
Wednesday, October 18 at 2am in CONCACAF Nations League
Wednesday, October 18 at 2am in CONCACAF Nations League
| Current League A Group A Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Panama | 4 | 7 | 10 |
| 2 | Trinidad and Tobago | 4 | 1 | 9 |
| 3 | Martinique | 4 | -1 | 7 |
| 4 | Guatemala | 4 | -2 | 4 |
| 5 | Curacao | 4 | -1 | 3 |
| 6 | El Salvador | 4 | -4 | 1 |
We said: Costa Rica 0-1 Panama
Panama have a familiarity with one another that is likely to take more time for the current Costa Rican squad to build, while Los Canaleros are hungry to win and should come into this match a lot fresher than their opponents, who have not played as many meaningful games of late. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Panama win with a probability of 43.73%. A win for Costa Rica had a probability of 30.3% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Panama win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.97%) and 0-2 (7.71%). The likeliest Costa Rica win was 1-0 (8.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.35%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Panama would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Costa Rica | Draw | Panama |
30.3% ( 1.82) | 25.97% ( 0.38) | 43.73% ( -2.2) |
| Both teams to score 52.69% ( -0.14) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
