CONCACAF Nations League | Quarter-Finals | 2nd Leg
Nov 21, 2023 at 2am UK
Estadio Rommel Fernandez Gutierrez
Panama3 - 1Costa Rica
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Costa Rica 0-3 Panama
Friday, November 17 at 3am in CONCACAF Nations League
Friday, November 17 at 3am in CONCACAF Nations League
| Current League A Group A Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Panama | 4 | 7 | 10 |
| 2 | Trinidad and Tobago | 4 | 1 | 9 |
| 3 | Martinique | 4 | -1 | 7 |
| 4 | Guatemala | 4 | -2 | 4 |
| 5 | Curacao | 4 | -1 | 3 |
| 6 | El Salvador | 4 | -4 | 1 |
CONCACAF Nations League
Last Game: Costa Rica 0-3 Panama
Friday, November 17 at 3am in CONCACAF Nations League
Friday, November 17 at 3am in CONCACAF Nations League
| Current Group C Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Panama | 3 | 2 | 7 |
| 2 | Costa Rica | 3 | 1 | 4 |
| 3 | Martinique | 3 | -2 | 3 |
| 4 | El Salvador | 3 | -1 | 2 |
We said: Panama 2-0 Costa Rica (Panama advances on aggregate)
In the opening leg, Costa Rica looked like a side still getting familiar with one another, which is what they are currently dealing with. Meanwhile, the Panamanians were cohesive and sharp on the ball, and their fluid passing and strong midfielders are as good as anyone remaining at this tournament, so we are sceptical they will slip up on Monday. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Panama win with a probability of 67.96%. A draw had a probability of 19.5% and a win for Costa Rica had a probability of 12.59%.
The most likely scoreline for a Panama win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.12%) and 2-1 (9.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.25%), while for a Costa Rica win it was 0-1 (4.45%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Panama would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Panama | Draw | Costa Rica |
67.96% ( 0.04) | 19.46% ( -0) | 12.59% ( -0.03) |
| Both teams to score 46.68% ( -0.09) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
