MX23RW : Sunday, November 24 10:16:12| >> :600:43100625:43100625:
Costa Rica national football team
CONCACAF Gold Cup | Group Stage
Jul 5, 2023 at 2am UK
Red Bull Arena

Costa Rica
6 - 4
Martinique

Waston (9'), Calvo (40'), Pablo Vargas (53'), Campbell (58' pen.), Contreras (68'), Campos (89')
Waston (43'), Valverde (73'), Wilson (79')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Burner (18', 78'), Labeau (74' pen.), Mexique (90+2')
Herelle (47'), Clementia (57'), Marny (87')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's CONCACAF Gold Cup clash between Costa Rica and Martinique, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
CONCACAF Gold Cup
Last Game: El Salvador 0-0 Costa Rica
Saturday, July 1 at 2.06am in CONCACAF Gold Cup
All competitions
CONCACAF Gold Cup
Last Game: Martinique 1-2 Panama
Friday, June 30 at 11.30pm in CONCACAF Gold Cup

We said: Costa Rica 1-0 Martinique

Los Ticos are not anywhere near as strong as we have seen in years past, but they seem to bring out their best when their backs are against the wall. Les Matinino have managed to stay close in many of their recent outings, but they cannot seem to find an extra gear in these big games. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Costa Rica win with a probability of 63.8%. A draw had a probability of 21.3% and a win for Martinique had a probability of 14.87%.

The most likely scoreline for a Costa Rica win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.17%) and 2-1 (9.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.11%), while for a Martinique win it was 0-1 (5.27%). The actual scoreline of 6-4 was predicted with a 0% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Costa Rica would win this match.

Result
Costa RicaDrawMartinique
63.8% (-1.389 -1.39) 21.33% (0.715 0.72) 14.87% (0.669 0.67)
Both teams to score 46.89% (-0.555 -0.56)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.04% (-1.641 -1.64)48.96% (1.636 1.64)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.95% (-1.505 -1.51)71.05% (1.499 1.5)
Costa Rica Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.32% (-0.955 -0.95)14.68% (0.949 0.95)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.15% (-1.86 -1.86)42.84% (1.854 1.85)
Martinique Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
54.96% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04)45.04% (0.032999999999994 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.03% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)80.96% (0.024000000000001 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Costa Rica 63.8%
    Martinique 14.87%
    Draw 21.32%
Costa RicaDrawMartinique
1-0 @ 12.68% (0.42 0.42)
2-0 @ 12.17% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 9.71% (-0.017999999999999 -0.02)
3-0 @ 7.78% (-0.279 -0.28)
3-1 @ 6.21% (-0.228 -0.23)
4-0 @ 3.73% (-0.269 -0.27)
4-1 @ 2.98% (-0.218 -0.22)
3-2 @ 2.48% (-0.094 -0.09)
5-0 @ 1.43% (-0.157 -0.16)
4-2 @ 1.19% (-0.088 -0.09)
5-1 @ 1.14% (-0.126 -0.13)
Other @ 2.3%
Total : 63.8%
1-1 @ 10.11% (0.315 0.32)
0-0 @ 6.61% (0.433 0.43)
2-2 @ 3.87% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 0.73%
Total : 21.32%
0-1 @ 5.27% (0.34 0.34)
1-2 @ 4.04% (0.125 0.13)
0-2 @ 2.1% (0.134 0.13)
1-3 @ 1.07% (0.032 0.03)
2-3 @ 1.03% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 1.35%
Total : 14.87%

How you voted: Costa Rica vs Martinique

Costa Rica
70.0%
Draw
20.0%
Martinique
10.0%
20
Head to Head
Mar 25, 2023 11pm
Jun 5, 2022 6pm
League A
Costa Rica
2-0
Martinique
Campbell (28'), Calvo (87')
Duarte (46'), Torres (56')

Vitulin (86')
rhs 2.0
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