Friendlies 1
Oct 18, 2023 at 1am UK
Lincoln Financial Field
Mexico2 - 2Germany
The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Tuesday's friendly clash between Mexico and Germany, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
Predicted Lineups
Sports Mole looks at how Germany could line up against Mexico in Tuesday's international friendly.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Mexico 2-0 Ghana
Sunday, October 15 at 2am in International Friendlies
Sunday, October 15 at 2am in International Friendlies
| Current Group B Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Mexico | 3 | 5 | 6 |
| 2 | Qatar | 3 | 0 | 4 |
| 3 | Honduras | 3 | -3 | 4 |
| 4 | Haiti | 3 | -2 | 3 |
Last Game: USA 1-3 Germany
Saturday, October 14 at 8pm in International Friendlies
Saturday, October 14 at 8pm in International Friendlies
| Current Group E Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Japan | 3 | 1 | 6 |
| 2 | Spain | 3 | 6 | 4 |
| 3 | Germany | 3 | 1 | 4 |
| 4 | Costa Rica | 3 | -8 | 3 |
We said: Mexico 1-2 Germany
This will be a good test for both sides, and we are expecting Tuesday's contest to be extremely competitive. Mexico have players who can hurt Germany, and we are backing El Tri to score, but the Euro 2024 hosts should have enough quality to secure the win here. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Germany win with a probability of 47.23%. A win for Mexico had a probability of 28.57% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Germany win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.18%) and 0-2 (7.6%). The likeliest Mexico win was 2-1 (7.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.34%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Mexico | Draw | Germany |
28.57% ( -0.36) | 24.21% ( 0.19) | 47.23% ( 0.17) |
| Both teams to score 57.42% ( -0.9) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
