Mexico

2 - 2

Germany

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Germany win with a probability of 47.23%. A win for Mexico had a probability of 28.57% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Germany win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.18%) and 0-2 (7.6%). The likeliest Mexico win was 2-1 (7.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.34%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood.