MX23RW : Sunday, June 23 02:51:18| >> :60:1594:1594:
Germany national football team
Friendlies 1
Sep 9, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
VOLKSWAGEN ARENA
Japan national football team

Germany
1 - 4
Japan

Sane (19')
Sule (25'), Gosens (66')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Ito (11'), Ueda (22'), Asano (90'), Tanaka (90+2')
Itakura (52')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's friendly clash between Germany and Japan, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole looks at how Germany could line up for Saturday's international friendly against Japan in Wolfsburg.

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last Game: Germany 0-2 Colombia
Tuesday, June 20 at 7.45pm in International Friendlies
All competitions
International Friendlies
Last Game: Japan 4-1 Peru
Tuesday, June 20 at 10.55am in International Friendlies

We said: Germany 2-1 Japan

Although Germany have endured a disappointing 12 months - winning just two of their previous eight games across all competitions - Die Mannschaft are bound to bounce back before too long. With that in mind, we expect Flick's men to return to winning ways with a narrow victory over Japan, although the Samurai Blue will likely push the hosts all the way. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Germany win with a probability of 44.05%. A win for Japan had a probability of 30.77% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Germany win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.09%) and 2-0 (7.37%). The likeliest Japan win was 0-1 (7.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.91%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood.

Result
GermanyDrawJapan
44.05% (1.735 1.74) 25.17% (-0.084 -0.08) 30.77% (-1.657 -1.66)
Both teams to score 55.5% (-0.437 -0.44)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.12% (-0.251 -0.25)47.87% (0.247 0.25)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.94% (-0.231 -0.23)70.05% (0.226 0.23)
Germany Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.27% (0.705 0.7)21.73% (-0.709 -0.71)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.1% (1.069 1.07)54.89% (-1.073 -1.07)
Japan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.9% (-1.21 -1.21)29.09% (1.206 1.21)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.98% (-1.518 -1.52)65.01% (1.514 1.51)
Score Analysis
    Germany 44.05%
    Japan 30.77%
    Draw 25.17%
GermanyDrawJapan
1-0 @ 9.65% (0.3 0.3)
2-1 @ 9.09% (0.171 0.17)
2-0 @ 7.37% (0.378 0.38)
3-1 @ 4.63% (0.183 0.18)
3-0 @ 3.75% (0.267 0.27)
3-2 @ 2.86% (0.019 0.02)
4-1 @ 1.77% (0.105 0.11)
4-0 @ 1.43% (0.13 0.13)
4-2 @ 1.09% (0.03 0.03)
Other @ 2.42%
Total : 44.05%
1-1 @ 11.91% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
0-0 @ 6.32% (0.065 0.06)
2-2 @ 5.61% (-0.083 -0.08)
3-3 @ 1.18% (-0.032 -0.03)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 25.17%
0-1 @ 7.81% (-0.185 -0.19)
1-2 @ 7.36% (-0.27 -0.27)
0-2 @ 4.82% (-0.284 -0.28)
1-3 @ 3.03% (-0.219 -0.22)
2-3 @ 2.31% (-0.114 -0.11)
0-3 @ 1.98% (-0.189 -0.19)
1-4 @ 0.93% (-0.102 -0.1)
Other @ 2.54%
Total : 30.77%

How you voted: Germany vs Japan

Germany
68.0%
Draw
9.3%
Japan
22.7%
75
Head to Head
Nov 23, 2022 1pm
Group Stage
Germany
1-2
Japan
Gundogan (33' pen.)
Doan (75'), Asano (83')
rhs 2.0
Euro 2024 fixtures header
Sunday, June 23
 
8pm
Monday, June 24
 
8pm
 
8pm
Tuesday, June 25
 
5pm
 
5pm
 
8pm
 
8pm
Wednesday, June 26
 
5pm
 
5pm
 
8pm
 
8pm
Saturday, June 29
Sunday, June 30
Monday, July 1
Tuesday, July 2
Friday, July 5
Saturday, July 6
Tuesday, July 9
Wednesday, July 10
Sunday, July 14
Tables header RHS

Group A

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Germany Germany22006
2 Switzerland Switzerland21104
3 Scotland flag Scotland20111
4 Hungary Hungary20020

Group B

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Spain Spain22006
2 Italy Italy21013
3 Albania national flag Albania20111
4 Croatia Croatia20111

Group C

TeamPWDLPTS
1 England flag England21104
2 Denmark Denmark20202
3 Slovenia Slovenia20202
4 Serbia Serbia20111

Group D

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Netherlands Netherlands21104
2 France France21104
3 Austria Austria21013
4 Poland Poland20020

Group E

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Romania Romania21013
2 Belgium Belgium21013
3 Slovakia Slovakia21013
4 Ukraine Ukraine21013

Group F

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Portugal Portugal22006
2 Turkey Turkey21013
3 Czech Republic Czech Republic20111
4 Georgia Georgia20111


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