Both countries will head into Tuesday's friendlies in high spirits after claiming victories last week, but with just one place separating the two nations in the FIFA World Rankings, we think that they could cancel one another out, resulting in the contest finishing all square. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Japan win with a probability of 63.21%. A draw had a probability of 23.6% and a win for Peru had a probability of 13.24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Japan win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (14.23%) and 2-1 (8.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.41%), while for a Peru win it was 0-1 (6.22%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Japan would win this match.

Result
Japan	Draw	Peru
63.21% ( 19.25)	23.56% ( 1.1)	13.24% ( -20.35)

Both teams to score 37.25% (

-29.31)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

40.09% (

-25.99)

59.92% (

25.99)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

19.83% (

-24.39)

80.18% (

24.39)

Japan Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.28% (

-2.62)

18.73% (

2.63)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.91% (

-4.59)

50.1% (

4.59)

Peru Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

45.83% (

-33.5)

54.18% (

33.5)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

12.62% (

-34.11)

87.38% (

34.12)

Score Analysis

Japan 63.19%

Peru 13.24%

Draw 23.55%

Japan	Draw	Peru
1-0 @ 16.99% ( 10.91) 2-0 @ 14.23% ( 8.68) 2-1 @ 8.73% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 7.95% ( 4.57) 3-1 @ 4.87% ( -0.46) 4-0 @ 3.33% ( 1.79) 4-1 @ 2.04% ( -0.39) 3-2 @ 1.49% ( -2.71) 5-0 @ 1.12% ( 0.55) Other @ 2.45% Total : 63.19%	1-1 @ 10.41% ( 0.83) 0-0 @ 10.14% ( 6.81) 2-2 @ 2.67% ( -4.22) Other @ 0.33% Total : 23.55%	0-1 @ 6.22% ( 0.97) 1-2 @ 3.19% ( -4.36) 0-2 @ 1.91% ( -2.23) Other @ 1.92% Total : 13.24%