International Friendly
Nov 17, 2022 at 1am UK
Estadio Nacional de Lima
Peru1 - 0Paraguay
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: El Salvador 1-4 Peru
Wednesday, September 28 at 1am in International Friendlies
Wednesday, September 28 at 1am in International Friendlies
We said: Peru 1-0 Paraguay
Neither side have proved particularly potent in recent times, and a tightly-contested match may be decided by a single goal. The hosts can make use of home advantage to take the initiative and break through their visitors' experienced rearguard; posting rare back-to-back wins. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Peru win with a probability of 42.67%. A win for Paraguay had a probability of 30.51% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Peru win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.72%) and 2-0 (7.82%). The likeliest Paraguay win was 0-1 (9.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.72%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Peru in this match.
| Result | ||
| Peru | Draw | Paraguay |
42.67% ( 0.41) | 26.81% ( -0.02) | 30.51% ( -0.38) |
| Both teams to score 50.18% ( -0.1) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
