MX23RW : Thursday, November 21 16:39:40| >> :60:475:475:
Peru national football team
International Friendly
Nov 17, 2022 at 1am UK
Estadio Nacional de Lima
Paraguay national football team

Peru
1 - 0
Paraguay

Valera (49')
Ascues (16'), Reyna (33'), Lopez (36')
Succar (84')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Villasanti (15'), Ortiz (36'), Gomez (75')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's International Friendly clash between Peru and Paraguay, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Peru

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last Game: El Salvador 1-4 Peru
Wednesday, September 28 at 1am in International Friendlies
Current Group B Standings P GD PTS
1Brazil4810
2Peru4-27
3Colombia4-14
4Ecuador4-13
5Venezuela4-42

Paraguay

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last Game: Paraguay 0-0 Morocco
Tuesday, September 27 at 8pm in International Friendlies

We said: Peru 1-0 Paraguay

 Neither side have proved particularly potent in recent times, and a tightly-contested match may be decided by a single goal. The hosts can make use of home advantage to take the initiative and break through their visitors' experienced rearguard; posting rare back-to-back wins. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Peru win with a probability of 42.67%. A win for Paraguay had a probability of 30.51% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Peru win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.72%) and 2-0 (7.82%). The likeliest Paraguay win was 0-1 (9.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.72%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Peru in this match.

Result
PeruDrawParaguay
42.67% (0.406 0.41) 26.81% (-0.023 -0.02) 30.51% (-0.38 -0.38)
Both teams to score 50.18% (-0.097000000000001 -0.1)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.3% (-0.045000000000002 -0.05)54.7% (0.047000000000004 0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.98% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04)76.02% (0.039000000000001 0.04)
Peru Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.63% (0.19 0.19)25.38% (-0.188 -0.19)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.82% (0.258 0.26)60.18% (-0.25700000000001 -0.26)
Paraguay Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.24% (-0.3 -0.3)32.76% (0.302 0.3)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.69% (-0.336 -0.34)69.31% (0.33799999999999 0.34)
Score Analysis
    Peru 42.66%
    Paraguay 30.51%
    Draw 26.81%
PeruDrawParaguay
1-0 @ 11.39% (0.08 0.08)
2-1 @ 8.72% (0.038 0.04)
2-0 @ 7.82% (0.098 0.1)
3-1 @ 3.99% (0.039 0.04)
3-0 @ 3.57% (0.064 0.06)
3-2 @ 2.23% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-1 @ 1.37% (0.02 0.02)
4-0 @ 1.23% (0.028 0.03)
Other @ 2.36%
Total : 42.66%
1-1 @ 12.72% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 8.31% (0.014999999999999 0.01)
2-2 @ 4.87% (-0.018999999999999 -0.02)
Other @ 0.91%
Total : 26.81%
0-1 @ 9.28% (-0.059000000000001 -0.06)
1-2 @ 7.1% (-0.065 -0.07)
0-2 @ 5.18% (-0.076000000000001 -0.08)
1-3 @ 2.64% (-0.047 -0.05)
0-3 @ 1.93% (-0.044 -0.04)
2-3 @ 1.81% (-0.022 -0.02)
Other @ 2.58%
Total : 30.51%

How you voted: Peru vs Paraguay

Peru
75.7%
Draw
12.9%
Paraguay
11.4%
70
Head to Head
Mar 30, 2022 12.30am
CONMEBOL Standings
Peru
2-0
Paraguay
Lapadula (5'), Yotun (42')
Lapadula (28')

Rojas (45'), Ortiz (55')
Jul 2, 2021 10pm
Peru
3-3
Paraguay
 Peru win 4-3 on penalties
Lapadula (21', 40'), Yotun (80')
Santamaria (15'), Cueva (60'), Carrillo (75')
Carrillo (85')
Gomez (11'), Alonso (54'), Avalos (90')
Gomez (42'), Villasanti (49'), Espinola (87')
Gomez (45+3')
Oct 8, 2020 11.30pm
CONMEBOL Standings
Paraguay
2-2
Peru
Romero (66', 81')
Cubas (35'), Espinola Gimenez (43'), Villasanti (84')
Carrillo (52', 85')
Zambrano (18')
Mar 23, 2019 12am
Peru
1-0
Paraguay
Cueva (4')
Tapia (51'), Advincula (64')
Jul 4, 2015 12.30am
Peru
2-0
Paraguay
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