World Cup

World Cup Qualifying - South America | Group Stage

Mar 30, 2022 at 12.30am UK

Peru
2 - 0
Paraguay

Lapadula (5'), Yotun (42')
Lapadula (28')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Rojas (45'), Ortiz (55')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's World Cup Qualifying - South America clash between Peru and Paraguay, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Peru

Last Six:

Last Game: Peru 1-0 New Zealand
Sunday, June 5 at 4.30pm in International Friendlies

Current Group B Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Brazil	4	8	10
2	Peru	4	-2	7
3	Colombia	4	-1	4
4	Ecuador	4	-1	3
5	Venezuela	4	-4	2

Paraguay

Last Six:

Last Game: Japan 4-1 Paraguay
Thursday, June 2 at 11am in International Friendlies

Next Game: South Korea vs. Paraguay
Friday, June 10 at 12pm in International Friendlies

Current Group A Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Argentina	4	5	10
2	Uruguay	4	2	7
3	Paraguay	4	2	6
4	Chile	4	-1	5
5	Bolivia	4	-8	0

Just one point above sixth-place Columbia, Peru need maximum points to keep their World Cup qualification dreams alive. Next up is a floundering opposing side who have managed just one win in their last eight games. We predict Peru will take full advantage of their home crowd support and come away with all three points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paraguay win with a probability of 35%. A win for Peru had a probability of 34.24% and a draw had a probability of 30.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Paraguay win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (6.87%) and 1-2 (6.85%). The likeliest Peru win was 1-0 (13.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.53%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Peru in this match.

Result
Peru	Draw	Paraguay
34.24%	30.77%	35%

Both teams to score 40.16%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

32.57%

67.43%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

14.45%

85.55%

Peru Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.11%

36.89%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.32%

73.68%

Paraguay Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.64%

36.36%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.85%

73.15%

Score Analysis

Peru 34.23%

Paraguay 35%

Draw 30.76%

Peru	Draw	Paraguay
1-0 @ 13.37% 2-1 @ 6.75% 2-0 @ 6.67% 3-1 @ 2.24% 3-0 @ 2.22% 3-2 @ 1.14% Other @ 1.85% Total : 34.23%	1-1 @ 13.53% 0-0 @ 13.41% 2-2 @ 3.41% Other @ 0.41% Total : 30.76%	0-1 @ 13.57% 0-2 @ 6.87% 1-2 @ 6.85% 0-3 @ 2.32% 1-3 @ 2.31% 2-3 @ 1.15% Other @ 1.94% Total : 35%