World Cup Qualifying - South America | Group Stage
Oct 14, 2021 at 9pm UK
Bolivia4 - 0Paraguay
FT(HT: 1-0)
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolivia win with a probability of 38.9%. A win for Paraguay had a probability of 36.18% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bolivia win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.32%) and 2-0 (6.09%). The likeliest Paraguay win was 1-2 (8.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.67%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bolivia would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Bolivia | Draw | Paraguay |
| 38.9% | 24.92% | 36.18% |
| Both teams to score 58% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.67% | 45.33% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.33% | 67.67% |
| Bolivia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.88% | 23.12% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 43.02% | 56.98% |
| Paraguay Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.44% | 24.56% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 40.95% | 59.05% |
| Score Analysis |
Bolivia 38.9%
Paraguay 36.18%
Draw 24.91%
| Bolivia | Draw | Paraguay |
| 2-1 @ 8.55% 1-0 @ 8.32% 2-0 @ 6.09% 3-1 @ 4.17% 3-0 @ 2.97% 3-2 @ 2.93% 4-1 @ 1.53% 4-0 @ 1.09% 4-2 @ 1.07% Other @ 2.18% Total : 38.9% | 1-1 @ 11.67% 2-2 @ 6% 0-0 @ 5.68% 3-3 @ 1.37% Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.91% | 1-2 @ 8.2% 0-1 @ 7.97% 0-2 @ 5.6% 1-3 @ 3.84% 2-3 @ 2.81% 0-3 @ 2.62% 1-4 @ 1.35% 2-4 @ 0.99% 0-4 @ 0.92% Other @ 1.9% Total : 36.18% |
How you voted: Bolivia vs Paraguay
Bolivia
30.5%Draw
23.3%Paraguay
46.2%262
Head to Head
Jun 15, 2021 1am
Nov 17, 2020 11pm
