World Cup Qualifying - South America | Group Stage
Oct 11, 2021 at 1am UK
Chile2 - 0Paraguay
FT(HT: 0-0)
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chile win with a probability of 49.3%. A win for Paraguay had a probability of 26.43% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chile win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.55%) and 2-0 (8.27%). The likeliest Paraguay win was 0-1 (6.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.46%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chile would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Chile | Draw | Paraguay |
| 49.3% | 24.26% | 26.43% |
| Both teams to score 55.53% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
