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Ecuador national football team
World Cup Qualifying - South America | Group Stage
Sep 5, 2021 at 10pm UK
 
Chile national football team

Ecuador
0 - 0
Chile


Valencia (21')
Sornoza (63')
FT

Vegas (13'), Roco (58'), Vargas (71')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's World Cup Qualifying - South America clash between Ecuador and Chile, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ecuador win with a probability of 40.42%. A draw had a probability of 31.2% and a win for Chile had a probability of 28.35%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ecuador win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.45%) and 2-1 (7.19%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (14.51%), while for a Chile win it was 0-1 (12.35%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 14.5% likelihood.

Result
EcuadorDrawChile
40.42%31.23%28.35%
Both teams to score 37.83%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
30.44%69.56%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
13.05%86.95%
Ecuador Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66%34%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.32%70.68%
Chile Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.31%42.69%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.97%79.03%
Score Analysis
    Ecuador 40.41%
    Chile 28.35%
    Draw 31.22%
EcuadorDrawChile
1-0 @ 15.65%
2-0 @ 8.45%
2-1 @ 7.19%
3-0 @ 3.04%
3-1 @ 2.59%
3-2 @ 1.1%
Other @ 2.4%
Total : 40.41%
0-0 @ 14.51%
1-1 @ 13.32%
2-2 @ 3.06%
Other @ 0.33%
Total : 31.22%
0-1 @ 12.35%
1-2 @ 5.67%
0-2 @ 5.26%
1-3 @ 1.61%
0-3 @ 1.49%
Other @ 1.96%
Total : 28.35%

How you voted: Ecuador vs Chile

Ecuador
46.4%
Draw
26.1%
Chile
27.5%
69
Head to Head
Jun 22, 2019 12am
Group Stage
Ecuador
1-2
Chile
Valencia (26' pen.)
Mendez (3'), Mena (34'), Arboleda (78'), Gruezo (81'), Velasco (96')
Achilier (89')
Fuenzalida (8'), Sanchez (51')
Arias (44'), Beausejour (52'), Isla (82'), Vidal (86')
Oct 6, 2017 12.30am
Group Stage
Chile
2-1
Ecuador
Vargas (22'), Sanchez (85')
Ibarra (82')
Jun 12, 2015 12.30am
rhs 2.0
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