Copa America

Copa America | Group Stage

Jun 23, 2021 at 10pm UK

Ecuador
2 - 2
Peru

Tapia (23' og.), Preciado (45+3')
Hincapie (57')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Lapadula (49'), Carrillo (54')
Ramos (88')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Copa America clash between Ecuador and Peru, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Peru could line up for Wednesday's Copa America clash with Ecuador.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ecuador win with a probability of 42.9%. A win for Peru had a probability of 33.1% and a draw had a probability of 24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ecuador win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.87%) and 2-0 (6.4%). The likeliest Peru win was 1-2 (7.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.03%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood.

Result
Ecuador	Draw	Peru
42.9%	24%	33.1%

Both teams to score 60.57%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

58.32%

41.68%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

35.92%

64.08%

Ecuador Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.34%

19.66%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.36%

51.64%

Peru Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.39%

24.6%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.89%

59.1%

Score Analysis

Ecuador 42.9%

Peru 33.1%

Draw 24%

Ecuador	Draw	Peru
2-1 @ 8.97% 1-0 @ 7.87% 2-0 @ 6.4% 3-1 @ 4.87% 3-0 @ 3.47% 3-2 @ 3.41% 4-1 @ 1.98% 4-0 @ 1.41% 4-2 @ 1.39% Other @ 3.13% Total : 42.9%	1-1 @ 11.03% 2-2 @ 6.29% 0-0 @ 4.84% 3-3 @ 1.59% Other @ 0.25% Total : 24%	1-2 @ 7.74% 0-1 @ 6.78% 0-2 @ 4.76% 1-3 @ 3.62% 2-3 @ 2.94% 0-3 @ 2.22% 1-4 @ 1.27% 2-4 @ 1.03% Other @ 2.74% Total : 33.1%