MX23RW : Tuesday, November 5 08:24:26| >> :600:2042960:2042960:
Ecuador national football team
World Cup Qualifying - South America | Group Stage
Jun 8, 2021 at 10pm UK
 
Peru national football team

Ecuador
1 - 2
Peru

Plata (90+2')
Caicedo (28'), Dominguez (79')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Cueva (63'), Advincula (88')
Advincula (22'), Lapadula (26'), Aquino (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's World Cup Qualifying - South America clash between Ecuador and Peru, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ecuador win with a probability of 58.83%. A draw had a probability of 23.9% and a win for Peru had a probability of 17.27%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ecuador win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.96%) and 2-1 (9.45%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.18%), while for a Peru win it was 0-1 (6.62%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood.

Result
EcuadorDrawPeru
58.83%23.89%17.27%
Both teams to score 44.52%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.09%54.91%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.8%76.19%
Ecuador Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.54%18.46%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.35%49.64%
Peru Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
54.6%45.39%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
18.75%81.25%
Score Analysis
    Ecuador 58.82%
    Peru 17.27%
    Draw 23.89%
EcuadorDrawPeru
1-0 @ 14.15%
2-0 @ 11.96%
2-1 @ 9.45%
3-0 @ 6.74%
3-1 @ 5.32%
4-0 @ 2.85%
4-1 @ 2.25%
3-2 @ 2.1%
5-0 @ 0.96%
Other @ 3.05%
Total : 58.82%
1-1 @ 11.18%
0-0 @ 8.38%
2-2 @ 3.73%
Other @ 0.6%
Total : 23.89%
0-1 @ 6.62%
1-2 @ 4.42%
0-2 @ 2.61%
1-3 @ 1.16%
2-3 @ 0.98%
Other @ 1.49%
Total : 17.27%

How you voted: Ecuador vs Peru

Ecuador
82.1%
Draw
9.0%
Peru
9.0%
67
Head to Head
Sep 6, 2019 1am
International Friendlies
Peru
0-1
Ecuador

Gonzales (43'), Trauco (88')
Castillo (47')
Arreaga (22'), Estrada (27')
Nov 16, 2018 1.30am
International Friendlies
Peru
0-2
Ecuador
Valencia (47'), Valencia (74')
Orejuela (36'), Gruezo (41')
Sep 5, 2017 10pm
Group Stage
Ecuador
1-2
Peru
Valencia (79' pen.)
Flores (73'), Hurtado (76')
rhs 2.0
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