World Cup

World Cup Qualifying - South America | Group Stage

Sep 10, 2021 at 12am UK

colombia

Colombia
3 - 1
Chile

Borja (19' pen., 20'), Diaz (74')
Quintero (66')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Meneses (56')
Vidal (30'), Pulgar (68'), Diaz (85')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's World Cup Qualifying - South America clash between Colombia and Chile, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Colombia win with a probability of 49.8%. A draw had a probability of 31.8% and a win for Chile had a probability of 18.45%.

The most likely scoreline for a Colombia win was 1-0 with a probability of 20.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.77%) and 2-1 (6.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (17.9%), while for a Chile win it was 0-1 (10.26%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Colombia would win this match.

Result
Colombia	Draw	Chile
49.8%	31.76%	18.45%

Both teams to score 29.78%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

24.81%

75.19%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

9.62%

90.38%

Colombia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.23%

31.77%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.8%

68.2%

Chile Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

43.64%

56.36%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

11.32%

88.68%

Score Analysis

Colombia 49.8%

Chile 18.44%

Draw 31.75%

Colombia	Draw	Chile
1-0 @ 20.53% 2-0 @ 11.77% 2-1 @ 6.75% 3-0 @ 4.5% 3-1 @ 2.58% 4-0 @ 1.29% Other @ 2.38% Total : 49.8%	0-0 @ 17.9% 1-1 @ 11.77% 2-2 @ 1.94% Other @ 0.15% Total : 31.75%	0-1 @ 10.26% 1-2 @ 3.38% 0-2 @ 2.94% Other @ 1.86% Total : 18.44%