World Cup Qualifying - South America | Group Stage
Oct 8, 2021 at 1.30am UK
Ecuador3 - 0Bolivia
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ecuador win with a probability of 63.83%. A draw had a probability of 23% and a win for Bolivia had a probability of 13.16%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ecuador win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (14.11%) and 2-1 (8.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.32%), while for a Bolivia win it was 0-1 (6%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ecuador would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Ecuador | Draw | Bolivia |
| 63.83% | 23.01% | 13.16% |
| Both teams to score 38.38% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 41.76% | 58.24% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.12% | 78.88% |
| Ecuador Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.13% | 17.87% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 51.35% | 48.65% |
| Bolivia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 46.73% | 53.27% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 13.18% | 86.82% |
| Score Analysis |
Ecuador 63.82%
Bolivia 13.16%
Draw 23%
| Ecuador | Draw | Bolivia |
| 1-0 @ 16.39% 2-0 @ 14.11% 2-1 @ 8.89% 3-0 @ 8.1% 3-1 @ 5.1% 4-0 @ 3.49% 4-1 @ 2.2% 3-2 @ 1.61% 5-0 @ 1.2% Other @ 2.74% Total : 63.82% | 1-1 @ 10.32% 0-0 @ 9.52% 2-2 @ 2.8% Other @ 0.36% Total : 23% | 0-1 @ 6% 1-2 @ 3.25% 0-2 @ 1.89% Other @ 2.03% Total : 13.16% |
How you voted: Ecuador vs Bolivia
Ecuador
90.2%Draw
4.9%Bolivia
4.9%41
Head to Head
Nov 12, 2020 8pm
Group Stage
Bolivia
2-3
Ecuador
Jun 15, 2015 10pm
Group Stage
Ecuador
2-3
Bolivia
