World Cup

World Cup Qualifying - South America | Group Stage

Oct 8, 2021 at 1.30am UK

Ecuador
3 - 0
Bolivia

Estrada (14'), Valencia (17', 19')

FT(HT: 3-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's World Cup Qualifying - South America clash between Ecuador and Bolivia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ecuador win with a probability of 63.83%. A draw had a probability of 23% and a win for Bolivia had a probability of 13.16%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ecuador win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (14.11%) and 2-1 (8.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.32%), while for a Bolivia win it was 0-1 (6%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ecuador would win this match.

Result
Ecuador	Draw	Bolivia
63.83%	23.01%	13.16%

Both teams to score 38.38%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

41.76%

58.24%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

21.12%

78.88%

Ecuador Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.13%

17.87%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

51.35%

48.65%

Bolivia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

46.73%

53.27%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

13.18%

86.82%

Score Analysis

Ecuador 63.82%

Bolivia 13.16%

Draw 23%

Ecuador	Draw	Bolivia
1-0 @ 16.39% 2-0 @ 14.11% 2-1 @ 8.89% 3-0 @ 8.1% 3-1 @ 5.1% 4-0 @ 3.49% 4-1 @ 2.2% 3-2 @ 1.61% 5-0 @ 1.2% Other @ 2.74% Total : 63.82%	1-1 @ 10.32% 0-0 @ 9.52% 2-2 @ 2.8% Other @ 0.36% Total : 23%	0-1 @ 6% 1-2 @ 3.25% 0-2 @ 1.89% Other @ 2.03% Total : 13.16%