International Friendly
Nov 20, 2022 at 2am UK
Estadio Hernando Siles
Peru1 - 0Bolivia
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Bolivia 0-2 Senegal
Saturday, September 24 at 6pm in International Friendlies
Saturday, September 24 at 6pm in International Friendlies
We said: Peru 2-1 Bolivia
Peru will be regarded as favourites following their victory over Paraguay last time out and considering Bolivia's poor run of form. Both sides possess quality to cause problems in the final third, but we can see La Blanquirroja edging past La Verde on home soil to end the year on a high. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Peru win with a probability of 83.76%. A draw had a probability of 12% and a win for Bolivia had a probability of 4.24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Peru win was 2-0 with a probability of 16.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (14.12%) and 1-0 (12.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.43%), while for a Bolivia win it was 0-1 (2.09%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Peru would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Peru | Draw | Bolivia |
83.76% ( 19.86) | 12% ( -11.36) | 4.24% ( -8.5) |
| Both teams to score 32.4% ( -4.18) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.25% ( 18.34) | 41.75% ( -18.34) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.85% ( 16.16) | 64.15% ( -16.16) |
| Peru Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 92.53% ( 11.07) | 7.47% ( -11.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 73.15% ( 22.93) | 26.84% ( -22.93) |
| Bolivia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 35.02% ( -9.89) | 64.98% ( 9.89) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 7.01% ( -5.06) | 92.99% ( 5.06) |
| Score Analysis |
Peru 83.75%
Bolivia 4.24%
Draw 12%
| Peru | Draw | Bolivia |
| 2-0 @ 16.33% ( 1.83) 3-0 @ 14.12% ( 5.97)1-0 @ 12.59% ( -4.62)4-0 @ 9.16% ( 5.73)2-1 @ 7.04% ( -1.61)3-1 @ 6.09% ( 1.23)5-0 @ 4.76% ( 3.6)4-1 @ 3.95% ( 1.9)6-0 @ 2.06% ( 1.73)5-1 @ 2.05% ( 1.36)3-2 @ 1.31% ( -0.14)Other @ 4.29% Total : 83.75% | 1-1 @ 5.43% ( -4.83) 0-0 @ 4.85% ( -5.36)2-2 @ 1.52% ( -1.06)Other @ 0.2% Total : 12% | 0-1 @ 2.09% ( -4) 1-2 @ 1.17% ( -1.89)Other @ 0.98% Total : 4.24% |
How you voted: Bolivia vs Peru
Bolivia
35.6%Draw
6.7%Peru
57.8%45
