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World Cup
Bolivia national football team
World Cup Qualifying - South America | Group Stage
Feb 1, 2022 at 8.30pm UK
 
Chile national football team

Bolivia
2 - 3
Chile

Enoumba (37'), Moreno (88')
Miranda (36'), Moreno (90+2')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Sanchez (14', 86'), Nunez (77')
Kuscevic (30'), Cortes (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's World Cup Qualifying - South America clash between Bolivia and Chile, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

We said: Bolivia 1-1 Chile

 Chile boast the stronger of the two squads, but La Paz is a notoriously tough place to visit, and, as a result, we cannot quite split the teams. With both desperate for a crucial victory to try and sneak into the top five, the two nations could cancel out each other's efforts on Tuesday and settle for a share of the spoils that benefits neither. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolivia win with a probability of 39.53%. A win for Chile had a probability of 35.47% and a draw had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bolivia win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.51%) and 2-0 (6.25%). The likeliest Chile win was 1-2 (8.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.74%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood.

Result
BoliviaDrawChile
39.53%25.01%35.47%
Both teams to score 57.6%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.19%45.81%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.88%68.12%
Bolivia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.99%23.01%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.18%56.82%
Chile Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.81%25.18%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.08%59.91%
Score Analysis
    Bolivia 39.53%
    Chile 35.47%
    Draw 25.01%
BoliviaDrawChile
2-1 @ 8.63%
1-0 @ 8.51%
2-0 @ 6.25%
3-1 @ 4.22%
3-0 @ 3.06%
3-2 @ 2.91%
4-1 @ 1.55%
4-0 @ 1.13%
4-2 @ 1.07%
Other @ 2.19%
Total : 39.53%
1-1 @ 11.74%
2-2 @ 5.95%
0-0 @ 5.8%
3-3 @ 1.34%
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 25.01%
1-2 @ 8.1%
0-1 @ 7.99%
0-2 @ 5.51%
1-3 @ 3.72%
2-3 @ 2.73%
0-3 @ 2.53%
1-4 @ 1.28%
2-4 @ 0.94%
Other @ 2.66%
Total : 35.47%

How you voted: Bolivia vs Chile

Bolivia
31.3%
Draw
26.1%
Chile
42.6%
176
Head to Head
Jun 18, 2021 10pm
Group Stage
Chile
1-0
Bolivia
Brereton (10')
Maripan (81')

Vaca (53'), Bejarano (87')
> Preview
Jun 9, 2021 2.30am
Group Stage
Chile
1-1
Bolivia
Medel (83'), Pulgar (84')
Vaca (32'), Bejarano (40'), Flores (48'), Justiniano (62')
> Preview
Mar 27, 2021 1am
Friendlies 1
Chile
2-1
Bolivia
Parra (90+2')
Sep 5, 2017 9pm
Group Stage
Bolivia
1-0
Chile
Arce (58' pen.)
Jun 20, 2015 12.30pm
Group Stage
Chile
5-0
Bolivia
> Match Report
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