World Cup Qualifying - South America | Group Stage
Oct 15, 2021 at 1am UK
Chile3 - 0Venezuela
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chile win with a probability of 55.85%. A win for Venezuela had a probability of 22.16% and a draw had a probability of 22%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chile win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.88%) and 2-0 (8.61%). The likeliest Venezuela win was 1-2 (5.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.16%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chile would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Chile | Draw | Venezuela |
| 55.85% | 21.99% | 22.16% |
| Both teams to score 58.35% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.51% | 40.49% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.14% | 62.86% |
| Chile Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.61% | 14.39% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 57.71% | 42.29% |
| Venezuela Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.16% | 31.84% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 31.72% | 68.29% |
| Score Analysis |
Chile 55.85%
Venezuela 22.16%
Draw 21.98%
| Chile | Draw | Venezuela |
| 2-1 @ 9.85% 1-0 @ 8.88% 2-0 @ 8.61% 3-1 @ 6.37% 3-0 @ 5.56% 3-2 @ 3.64% 4-1 @ 3.09% 4-0 @ 2.7% 4-2 @ 1.77% 5-1 @ 1.2% 5-0 @ 1.05% Other @ 3.14% Total : 55.85% | 1-1 @ 10.16% 2-2 @ 5.64% 0-0 @ 4.58% 3-3 @ 1.39% Other @ 0.21% Total : 21.98% | 1-2 @ 5.82% 0-1 @ 5.24% 0-2 @ 3% 1-3 @ 2.22% 2-3 @ 2.15% 0-3 @ 1.14% Other @ 2.59% Total : 22.16% |
How you voted: Chile vs Venezuela
Chile
84.9%Draw
4.3%Venezuela
10.8%93
Head to Head
Mar 28, 2017 11pm
