World Cup

World Cup Qualifying - South America | Group Stage

Sep 6, 2021 at 2am UK

Peru
1 - 0
Venezuela

Cueva (35')
Gonzales (77'), Guerrero (84')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Rincon (28'), Ferraresi (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's World Cup Qualifying - South America clash between Peru and Venezuela, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Peru win with a probability of 42.43%. A win for Venezuela had a probability of 30.87% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Peru win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.73%) and 2-0 (7.71%). The likeliest Venezuela win was 0-1 (9.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.68%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Peru in this match.

Result
Peru	Draw	Venezuela
42.43%	26.71%	30.87%

Both teams to score 50.66%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.83%

54.17%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.42%

75.58%

Peru Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.74%

25.26%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.99%

60.02%

Venezuela Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.78%

32.23%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.28%

68.72%

Score Analysis

Peru 42.43%

Venezuela 30.87%

Draw 26.7%

Peru	Draw	Venezuela
1-0 @ 11.2% 2-1 @ 8.73% 2-0 @ 7.71% 3-1 @ 4% 3-0 @ 3.53% 3-2 @ 2.27% 4-1 @ 1.38% 4-0 @ 1.22% Other @ 2.4% Total : 42.43%	1-1 @ 12.68% 0-0 @ 8.14% 2-2 @ 4.94% Other @ 0.94% Total : 26.7%	0-1 @ 9.22% 1-2 @ 7.18% 0-2 @ 5.22% 1-3 @ 2.71% 0-3 @ 1.97% 2-3 @ 1.87% Other @ 2.7% Total : 30.87%