World Cup

World Cup Qualifying - South America | Group Stage

Mar 24, 2022 at 11.30pm UK

colombia

Colombia
3 - 0
Bolivia

Diaz (39'), Borja (72'), Uribe (90')
Cuadrado (68')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Haquin (12'), Garcia (57'), Maria Carrasco (58'), Enoumba (69')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's World Cup Qualifying - South America clash between Colombia and Bolivia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Colombia

Last Six:

Last Game: Saudi Arabia 0-1 Colombia
Sunday, June 5 at 6pm in International Friendlies

Current Group B Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Brazil	4	8	10
2	Peru	4	-2	7
3	Colombia	4	-1	4
4	Ecuador	4	-1	3
5	Venezuela	4	-4	2

Bolivia

Last Six:

Last Game: Bolivia 0-4 Brazil
Wednesday, March 30 at 12.30am in World Cup Qualifying - South America

Current Group A Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Argentina	4	5	10
2	Uruguay	4	2	7
3	Paraguay	4	2	6
4	Chile	4	-1	5
5	Bolivia	4	-8	0

Colombia's eye-catching goal drought is certainly a cause for concern for Rueda, but we back them to put an end to that against a young Bolivia side. While we do not expect La Tricolor to convincingly dispose of their visitors, given the lack of momentum, they should have enough quality to scrape over the line. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Colombia win with a probability of 67.31%. A draw had a probability of 23.3% and a win for Bolivia had a probability of 9.39%.

The most likely scoreline for a Colombia win was 1-0 with a probability of 20.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (16.88%) and 3-0 (9.21%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (12.61%), while for a Bolivia win it was 0-1 (5.48%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Colombia would win this match.

Result
Colombia	Draw	Bolivia
67.31%	23.3%	9.39%

Both teams to score 28.35%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

34.23%

65.77%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

15.57%

84.43%

Colombia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.52%

19.48%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.66%

51.34%

Bolivia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

35.21%

64.79%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

7.09%

92.91%

Score Analysis

Colombia 67.3%

Bolivia 9.39%

Draw 23.29%

Colombia	Draw	Bolivia
1-0 @ 20.64% 2-0 @ 16.88% 3-0 @ 9.21% 2-1 @ 7.33% 3-1 @ 4% 4-0 @ 3.77% 4-1 @ 1.64% 5-0 @ 1.23% Other @ 2.61% Total : 67.3%	0-0 @ 12.61% 1-1 @ 8.96% 2-2 @ 1.59% Other @ 0.13% Total : 23.29%	0-1 @ 5.48% 1-2 @ 1.94% 0-2 @ 1.19% Other @ 0.78% Total : 9.39%