World Cup

World Cup Qualifying - South America | Group Stage

Oct 14, 2021 at 10pm UK

colombia

Colombia
0 - 0
Ecuador

Estupinan (54'), Mena (77')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's World Cup Qualifying - South America clash between Colombia and Ecuador, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Colombia win with a probability of 59.11%. A draw had a probability of 25.1% and a win for Ecuador had a probability of 15.83%.

The most likely scoreline for a Colombia win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.06%) and 2-1 (8.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.2%), while for a Ecuador win it was 0-1 (7.1%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood.

Result
Colombia	Draw	Ecuador
59.11%	25.06%	15.83%

Both teams to score 39.01%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

39.18%

60.81%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

19.14%

80.85%

Colombia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.36%

20.64%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.79%

53.2%

Ecuador Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

49.15%

50.84%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

14.76%

85.23%

Score Analysis

Colombia 59.09%

Ecuador 15.83%

Draw 25.06%

Colombia	Draw	Ecuador
1-0 @ 16.55% 2-0 @ 13.06% 2-1 @ 8.84% 3-0 @ 6.87% 3-1 @ 4.65% 4-0 @ 2.71% 4-1 @ 1.83% 3-2 @ 1.57% Other @ 3.01% Total : 59.09%	1-1 @ 11.2% 0-0 @ 10.49% 2-2 @ 2.99% Other @ 0.38% Total : 25.06%	0-1 @ 7.1% 1-2 @ 3.79% 0-2 @ 2.4% Other @ 2.54% Total : 15.83%