A significantly-altered Argentina defence presents Colombia with a prime opportunity to finally make the net ripple, but any joy on Tuesday is likely to end there for Rueda's side.
Colombia have far more on the line than Scaloni's suspension-hit outfit this week, but with Argentina possessing a wealth of attacking talent as ever, we can only back a resounding home win.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Argentina win with a probability of 55.11%. A draw had a probability of 25.1% and a win for Colombia had a probability of 19.83%.
The most likely scoreline for an Argentina win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.09%) and 2-1 (9.37%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.74%), while for a Colombia win it was 0-1 (7.36%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Argentina in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Argentina.
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