World Cup Qualifying - South America | Group Stage
Oct 11, 2021 at 12.30am UK
Argentina3 - 0Uruguay
The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Sunday's World Cup Qualifying - South America clash between Argentina and Uruguay, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
Predicted Lineups
Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Argentina could line up for Monday's World Cup qualifier against Uruguay.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Argentina win with a probability of 49.32%. A draw had a probability of 25.9% and a win for Uruguay had a probability of 24.78%.
The most likely scoreline for an Argentina win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.36%) and 2-1 (9.27%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.26%), while for a Uruguay win it was 0-1 (8.12%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Argentina would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Argentina | Draw | Uruguay |
| 49.32% | 25.9% | 24.78% |
| Both teams to score 48.95% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.61% | 54.38% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.24% | 75.76% |
| Argentina Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.91% | 22.08% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 44.56% | 55.43% |
| Uruguay Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.82% | 37.17% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 26.04% | 73.96% |
| Score Analysis |
Argentina 49.31%
Uruguay 24.78%
Draw 25.89%
| Argentina | Draw | Uruguay |
| 1-0 @ 12.39% 2-0 @ 9.36% 2-1 @ 9.27% 3-0 @ 4.72% 3-1 @ 4.67% 3-2 @ 2.31% 4-0 @ 1.78% 4-1 @ 1.76% Other @ 3.06% Total : 49.31% | 1-1 @ 12.26% 0-0 @ 8.21% 2-2 @ 4.59% Other @ 0.84% Total : 25.89% | 0-1 @ 8.12% 1-2 @ 6.07% 0-2 @ 4.02% 1-3 @ 2% 2-3 @ 1.51% 0-3 @ 1.33% Other @ 1.73% Total : 24.78% |
How you voted: Argentina vs Uruguay
Argentina
75.3%Draw
14.4%Uruguay
10.3%97
Head to Head
Jun 19, 2021 1am
Group Stage
Argentina
1-0
Uruguay
Nov 18, 2019 7.15pm
International Friendlies
Argentina
2-2
Uruguay
Sep 1, 2017 12am
Group Stage
Uruguay
0-0
Argentina
Jun 18, 2015 12.30am
Group Stage
Argentina
1-0
Uruguay
Jul 30, 1930 7.15pm
Final
Uruguay
4-2
Argentina
Form Guide
