CONCACAF Nations League | Quarter-Finals | 2nd Leg

Nov 22, 2023 at 2.30am UK

Estadio Azteca

Mexico
2 - 0
Honduras

(agg: -)

Chavez (43'), Alvarez (90+11')
Alvarez (10'), Chavez (51'), Sanchez (92'), Romo (130'), Jimenez (117'), Romo (130')

FT
(aet)

Rosales (42'), Lozano (68'), Menjivar (86'), Elis (90+3'), Maldonado (94')
Facusse (90+13'), Maldonado (115')

Mexico win 4-2 on penalties

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's CONCACAF Nations League clash between Mexico and Honduras, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Mexico

All competitions

CONCACAF Nations League

Last Game: Honduras 2-0 Mexico
Saturday, November 18 at 2am in CONCACAF Nations League

Current Group B Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Mexico	3	5	6
2	Qatar	3	0	4
3	Honduras	3	-3	4
4	Haiti	3	-2	3

Honduras

All competitions

CONCACAF Nations League

Last Game: Honduras 2-0 Mexico
Saturday, November 18 at 2am in CONCACAF Nations League

Current League A Group B Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Jamaica	4	5	10
2	Honduras	4	7	7
3	Suriname	4	3	5
4	Cuba	4	-3	5
5	Haiti	4	-1	3
6	Grenada	4	-11	1

We say: Mexico 1-0 Honduras (Honduras advances on aggregate)

Whether they are still resting on their laurels from the Gold Cup or are just in a slump, the Mexicans have not looked convincing in months and have found it difficult to find consistency at Azteca. The Hondurans look quite comfortable hanging back and defending teams for long stretches, while they seem to have developed some solid partnerships at the back, all of which should enable them to squeak through this tie. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mexico win with a probability of 58.63%. A draw had a probability of 24.1% and a win for Honduras had a probability of 17.31%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mexico win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12%) and 2-1 (9.4%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.23%), while for a Honduras win it was 0-1 (6.71%).

Result
Mexico	Draw	Honduras
58.63% ( 0.06)	24.06% ( 0.01)	17.31% ( -0.07)

Both teams to score 44.12% (

-0.16)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

44.51% (

-0.14)

55.48% (

0.14)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.33% (

-0.12)

76.67% (

0.12)

Mexico Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.25% (

-0.03)

18.75% (

0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.86% (

-0.05)

50.13% (

0.05)

Honduras Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

54.3% (

-0.18)

45.7% (

0.18)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

18.51% (

-0.14)

81.48% (

0.14)

Score Analysis

Mexico 58.62%

Honduras 17.31%

Draw 24.06%

Mexico	Draw	Honduras
1-0 @ 14.34% ( 0.07) 2-0 @ 12% ( 0.04) 2-1 @ 9.4% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 6.7% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 5.25% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 2.8% ( 0) 4-1 @ 2.2% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.05% ( -0.02) 5-0 @ 0.94% ( 0) Other @ 2.94% Total : 58.62%	1-1 @ 11.23% 0-0 @ 8.57% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 3.68% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.58% Total : 24.06%	0-1 @ 6.71% ( 0) 1-2 @ 4.4% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 2.63% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 1.15% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 0.96% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.46% Total : 17.31%