Frustration must be high in Honduras after the Cubans stifled them throughout the 90 minutes on matchday three. However, there are some experienced attacking players in the fold with La H who have overcome adversity before, and we believe they will find a way to get the job done against what could be another all-out defensive outing by their opponents. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Honduras win with a probability of 66.37%. A draw had a probability of 20.5% and a win for Cuba had a probability of 13.14%.

The most likely scoreline for a Honduras win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.9%) and 2-1 (9.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.69%), while for a Cuba win it was 0-1 (4.91%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Honduras would win this match.

Result
Honduras	Draw	Cuba
66.37% ( -0.64)	20.49% ( 0.13)	13.14% ( 0.5)

Both teams to score 45.05% (

0.99)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.97% (

0.56)

49.03% (

-0.56)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.89% (

0.5)

71.11% (

-0.51)

Honduras Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.09% (

-0.02)

13.91% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

58.66% (

-0.04)

41.34% (

0.03)

Cuba Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

52.32% (

1.16)

47.67% (

-1.17)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

17.01% (

0.85)

82.99% (

-0.85)

Score Analysis

Honduras 66.36%

Cuba 13.14%

Draw 20.49%

Honduras	Draw	Cuba
1-0 @ 13.07% ( -0.32) 2-0 @ 12.9% ( -0.31) 2-1 @ 9.56% ( 0.09) 3-0 @ 8.48% ( -0.21) 3-1 @ 6.29% ( 0.05) 4-0 @ 4.19% ( -0.11) 4-1 @ 3.1% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 2.33% ( 0.09) 5-0 @ 1.65% ( -0.04) 5-1 @ 1.22% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.15% ( 0.05) Other @ 2.43% Total : 66.36%	1-1 @ 9.69% ( 0.09) 0-0 @ 6.63% ( -0.15) 2-2 @ 3.54% ( 0.15) Other @ 0.63% Total : 20.49%	0-1 @ 4.91% ( 0.05) 1-2 @ 3.59% ( 0.15) 0-2 @ 1.82% ( 0.08) Other @ 2.82% Total : 13.14%