The Haitians have started brightly in both of their encounters at this tournament and while the Hondurans were able to rescue themselves on matchday two, they give up too many quality scoring chances, something we believe Les Grenadiers will be able to take advantage of on Sunday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Honduras win with a probability of 43.82%. A win for Haiti had a probability of 30.81% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Honduras win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.06%) and 2-0 (7.42%). The likeliest Haiti win was 0-1 (7.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.02%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Honduras would win this match.

Result
Honduras	Draw	Haiti
43.82% ( -0.17)	25.37% ( 0.05)	30.81% ( 0.12)

Both teams to score 54.87% (

-0.11)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.3% (

-0.17)

48.7% (

0.17)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.19% (

-0.15)

70.81% (

0.15)

Honduras Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.81% (

-0.15)

22.18% (

0.15)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.41% (

-0.23)

55.59% (

0.23)

Haiti Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.51% (

-0)

29.48% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.51% (

-0)

65.49% (

Score Analysis

Honduras 43.82%

Haiti 30.81%

Draw 25.36%

Honduras	Draw	Haiti
1-0 @ 9.85% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 9.06% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 7.42% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 4.55% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 3.72% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 2.78% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 1.71% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 1.4% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 1.05% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.3% Total : 43.82%	1-1 @ 12.02% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 6.54% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 5.53% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.13% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.36%	0-1 @ 7.99% ( 0.06) 1-2 @ 7.35% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 4.88% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 2.99% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 2.25% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 1.99% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 0.91% ( 0) Other @ 2.45% Total : 30.81%