CONCACAF Nations League | League A

Oct 13, 2023 at 2am UK

Estadio Olimpico Felix Sanchez

Cuba
0 - 0
Honduras

Perez (4'), Morejon (90+1')

Zapata (28')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's CONCACAF Nations League clash between Cuba and Honduras, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Cuba

All competitions

CONCACAF Nations League

Last Game: Cuba 1-0 Suriname
Tuesday, September 12 at 9pm in CONCACAF Nations League

Current League A Group B Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Jamaica	2	1	4
2	Cuba	2	1	4
3	Honduras	2	3	3
4	Haiti	2	0	2
5	Suriname	2	-1	1
6	Grenada	2	-4	1

Honduras

All competitions

CONCACAF Nations League

Last Game: Honduras 4-0 Grenada
Wednesday, September 13 at 3am in CONCACAF Nations League

Current League A Group B Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Jamaica	2	1	4
2	Cuba	2	1	4
3	Honduras	2	3	3
4	Haiti	2	0	2
5	Suriname	2	-1	1
6	Grenada	2	-4	1

We have to believe the Cubans plan will be to try and suffocate Honduras by hanging back, though the Central Americans have brought an experienced side with proven goalscorers to this encounter, and we think that experience will eventually find a way through Cuba's backline, which could open the floodgates for La H. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cuba win with a probability of 54.94%. A draw had a probability of 24.6% and a win for Honduras had a probability of 20.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cuba win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.63%) and 2-1 (9.55%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.62%), while for a Honduras win it was 0-1 (7.07%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood.

Result
Cuba	Draw	Honduras
54.94% ( -0.63)	24.55% ( 0.25)	20.5% ( 0.38)

Both teams to score 47.82% (

-0.16)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.69% (

-0.5)

53.31% (

0.5)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.14% (

-0.43)

74.85% (

0.43)

Cuba Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.67% (

-0.44)

19.33% (

0.43)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.91% (

-0.72)

51.09% (

0.72)

Honduras Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

59.27% (

0.12)

40.73% (

-0.12)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

22.69% (

0.11)

77.31% (

-0.11)

Score Analysis

Cuba 54.93%

Honduras 20.5%

Draw 24.55%

Cuba	Draw	Honduras
1-0 @ 12.93% ( 0.07) 2-0 @ 10.63% ( -0.08) 2-1 @ 9.55% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 5.83% ( -0.13) 3-1 @ 5.23% ( -0.1) 4-0 @ 2.39% ( -0.09) 3-2 @ 2.35% ( -0.04) 4-1 @ 2.15% ( -0.07) 4-2 @ 0.97% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.9% Total : 54.93%	1-1 @ 11.62% ( 0.11) 0-0 @ 7.87% ( 0.15) 2-2 @ 4.29% ( -0) Other @ 0.77% Total : 24.55%	0-1 @ 7.07% ( 0.16) 1-2 @ 5.22% ( 0.07) 0-2 @ 3.18% ( 0.08) 1-3 @ 1.56% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 1.29% ( 0) 0-3 @ 0.95% ( 0.03) Other @ 1.24% Total : 20.5%