MX23RW : Sunday, November 24 00:19:55| >> :60:1230:1230:
Uruguay national football team
Friendlies 1
Jun 21, 2023 at 12.30am UK
Estadio Centenario
Cuba national football team

Uruguay
2 - 0
Cuba

Torres (27' pen.), Araujo (80')
Mendez (68')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Pozo-Venta (73')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's friendly clash between Uruguay and Cuba, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last Game: Uruguay 4-1 Nicaragua
Thursday, June 15 at 12.30am in International Friendlies
All competitions
International Friendlies
Last Game: Chile 3-0 Cuba
Monday, June 12 at 12am in International Friendlies

We said: Uruguay 2-0 Cuba

Despite Uruguay's absent stars, Bielsa's men are the better side, and that quality should be evident in a routine victory for La Celeste against Cuba. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Uruguay win with a probability of 81.66%. A draw had a probability of 13.2% and a win for Cuba had a probability of 5.15%.

The most likely scoreline for a Uruguay win was 2-0 with a probability of 15.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (13.29%) and 1-0 (12.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.05%), while for a Cuba win it was 0-1 (2.42%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 15.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Uruguay in this match.

Result
UruguayDrawCuba
81.66% (37.699 37.7) 13.19% (-9.267 -9.27) 5.15% (-28.436 -28.44)
Both teams to score 34.73% (-31.821 -31.82)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.2% (-8.875 -8.88)42.8% (8.87 8.87)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.8% (-9.422 -9.42)65.2% (9.418 9.42)
Uruguay Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
91.82% (7.916 7.92)8.18% (-7.92 -7.92)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
71.34% (16.84 16.84)28.66% (-16.844 -16.84)
Cuba Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
37.83% (-41.497 -41.5)62.17% (41.494 41.49)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
8.28% (-38.454 -38.45)91.72% (38.45 38.45)
Score Analysis
    Uruguay 81.64%
    Cuba 5.15%
    Draw 13.19%
UruguayDrawCuba
2-0 @ 15.93% (10.378 10.38)
3-0 @ 13.29% (9.91 9.91)
1-0 @ 12.73% (6.65 6.65)
4-0 @ 8.32% (6.78 6.78)
2-1 @ 7.58% (-1.176 -1.18)
3-1 @ 6.32% (0.993 0.99)
5-0 @ 4.17% (3.603 3.6)
4-1 @ 3.96% (1.523 1.52)
5-1 @ 1.98% (1.092 1.09)
6-0 @ 1.74% (1.567 1.57)
3-2 @ 1.5% (-2.696 -2.7)
4-2 @ 0.94% (-0.977 -0.98)
Other @ 3.19%
Total : 81.64%
1-1 @ 6.05% (-3.532 -3.53)
0-0 @ 5.09% (1.757 1.76)
2-2 @ 1.8% (-5.096 -5.1)
Other @ 0.26%
Total : 13.19%
0-1 @ 2.42% (-2.83 -2.83)
1-2 @ 1.44% (-6.114 -6.11)
Other @ 1.29%
Total : 5.15%

How you voted: Uruguay vs Cuba

Uruguay
81.3%
Draw
6.3%
Cuba
12.5%
32
rhs 2.0
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