Despite Uruguay's absent stars, Bielsa's men are the better side, and that quality should be evident in a routine victory for La Celeste against Cuba. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Uruguay win with a probability of 81.66%. A draw had a probability of 13.2% and a win for Cuba had a probability of 5.15%.

The most likely scoreline for a Uruguay win was 2-0 with a probability of 15.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (13.29%) and 1-0 (12.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.05%), while for a Cuba win it was 0-1 (2.42%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 15.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Uruguay in this match.

Result
Uruguay	Draw	Cuba
81.66% ( 37.7)	13.19% ( -9.27)	5.15% ( -28.44)

Both teams to score 34.73% (

-31.82)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

57.2% (

-8.88)

42.8% (

8.87)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

34.8% (

-9.42)

65.2% (

9.42)

Uruguay Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

91.82% (

7.92)

8.18% (

-7.92)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

71.34% (

16.84)

28.66% (

-16.84)

Cuba Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

37.83% (

-41.5)

62.17% (

41.49)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

8.28% (

-38.45)

91.72% (

38.45)

Score Analysis

Uruguay 81.64%

Cuba 5.15%

Draw 13.19%

Uruguay	Draw	Cuba
2-0 @ 15.93% ( 10.38) 3-0 @ 13.29% ( 9.91) 1-0 @ 12.73% ( 6.65) 4-0 @ 8.32% ( 6.78) 2-1 @ 7.58% ( -1.18) 3-1 @ 6.32% ( 0.99) 5-0 @ 4.17% ( 3.6) 4-1 @ 3.96% ( 1.52) 5-1 @ 1.98% ( 1.09) 6-0 @ 1.74% ( 1.57) 3-2 @ 1.5% ( -2.7) 4-2 @ 0.94% ( -0.98) Other @ 3.19% Total : 81.64%	1-1 @ 6.05% ( -3.53) 0-0 @ 5.09% ( 1.76) 2-2 @ 1.8% ( -5.1) Other @ 0.26% Total : 13.19%	0-1 @ 2.42% ( -2.83) 1-2 @ 1.44% ( -6.11) Other @ 1.29% Total : 5.15%