The conditions may favour the Cubans on Tuesday, but this team look disorganised and without much conviction or creativity when in possession. Canada have been underwhelming to this point of the tournament but playing on of the weaker sides in this competition should give them plenty of scoring opportunities, and at some point, we have to think they will find a breakthrough. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Canada win with a probability of 78.01%. A draw had a probability of 15.1% and a win for Cuba had a probability of 6.93%.

The most likely scoreline for a Canada win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.59%) and 3-0 (11.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.05%), while for a Cuba win it was 0-1 (2.96%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Canada would win this match.

Result
Canada	Draw	Cuba
78.01% ( 0.08)	15.06% ( 0.07)	6.93% ( -0.16)

Both teams to score 38.87% (

-1.06)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

56.29% (

-0.96)

43.71% (

0.95)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.9% (

-0.94)

66.1% (

0.94)

Canada Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

90.74% (

-0.22)

9.26% (

0.21)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

68.7% (

-0.51)

31.3% (

0.5)

Cuba Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

42.84% (

-1.07)

57.15% (

1.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

10.87% (

-0.61)

89.13% (

0.6)

Score Analysis

Canada 78%

Cuba 6.93%

Draw 15.06%

Canada	Draw	Cuba
2-0 @ 14.98% ( 0.34) 1-0 @ 12.59% ( 0.4) 3-0 @ 11.88% ( 0.15) 2-1 @ 8.38% ( -0.09) 4-0 @ 7.07% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 6.65% ( -0.14) 4-1 @ 3.95% ( -0.12) 5-0 @ 3.36% ( -0.02) 5-1 @ 1.88% ( -0.08) 3-2 @ 1.86% ( -0.1) 6-0 @ 1.33% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 1.11% ( -0.07) Other @ 2.95% Total : 78%	1-1 @ 7.05% ( -0) 0-0 @ 5.29% ( 0.22) 2-2 @ 2.34% ( -0.11) Other @ 0.38% Total : 15.06%	0-1 @ 2.96% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 1.97% ( -0.07) Other @ 1.99% Total : 6.93%