MX23RW : Wednesday, November 6 00:33:54| >> :600:41510487:41510487:
Guatemala national football team
CONCACAF Gold Cup | Group Stage
Jul 2, 2023 at 2.30am UK
BBVA Compass Stadium
Canada national football team

Guatemala
0 - 0
Canada


Mejia (16')
FT

Fraser (8'), Miller (10'), McGraw (60'), Bombito (67'), Shaffelburg (90+6')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's CONCACAF Gold Cup clash between Guatemala and Canada, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Guatemala

All competitions
CONCACAF Gold Cup
Last Game: Guatemala 1-0 Cuba
Wednesday, June 28 at 1.45am in CONCACAF Gold Cup

Canada

All competitions
CONCACAF Gold Cup
Last Game: Canada 2-2 Guadeloupe
Wednesday, June 28 at 12am in CONCACAF Gold Cup

We said: Guatemala 0-1 Canada

 If that opening fixture does not wake up this Canadian squad, then nothing will, and we believe they will have the bulk of the possession, while their youth could be a handful for the Guatemalans. Expect Los Chapines to sit back without much attacking intention, which might work for a while, but this Canadian team have a lot of speed and attacking depth to call upon, and we believe that will ultimately make the difference. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Canada win with a probability of 37.83%. A win for Guatemala had a probability of 32.22% and a draw had a probability of 29.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Canada win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.48%) and 1-2 (7.42%). The likeliest Guatemala win was 1-0 (12.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.46%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood.

Result
GuatemalaDrawCanada
32.22% (0.257 0.26) 29.95% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04) 37.83% (-0.217 -0.22)
Both teams to score 42.01% (0.153 0.15)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
34.87% (0.16099999999999 0.16)65.13% (-0.161 -0.16)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
16.02% (0.111 0.11)83.98% (-0.11199999999999 -0.11)
Guatemala Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.93% (0.279 0.28)37.07% (-0.279 -0.28)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.14% (0.276 0.28)73.86% (-0.276 -0.28)
Canada Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.76% (-0.051999999999992 -0.05)33.24% (0.051000000000002 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.15% (-0.056000000000001 -0.06)69.85% (0.055999999999997 0.06)
Score Analysis
    Guatemala 32.21%
    Canada 37.83%
    Draw 29.94%
GuatemalaDrawCanada
1-0 @ 12.22% (0.020000000000001 0.02)
2-1 @ 6.68% (0.052 0.05)
2-0 @ 6.07% (0.056 0.06)
3-1 @ 2.21% (0.034 0.03)
3-0 @ 2.01% (0.034 0.03)
3-2 @ 1.22% (0.017 0.02)
Other @ 1.81%
Total : 32.21%
1-1 @ 13.46%
0-0 @ 12.32% (-0.07 -0.07)
2-2 @ 3.68% (0.023 0.02)
Other @ 0.48%
Total : 29.94%
0-1 @ 13.57% (-0.1 -0.1)
0-2 @ 7.48% (-0.066000000000001 -0.07)
1-2 @ 7.42% (-0.008 -0.01)
0-3 @ 2.75% (-0.028 -0.03)
1-3 @ 2.72% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.35% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 2.55%
Total : 37.83%

How you voted: Guatemala vs Canada

Guatemala
26.9%
Draw
23.1%
Canada
50.0%
26
Head to Head
Jan 23, 2022 12am
Friendlies 1
Guatemala
0-0
Canada
rhs 2.0
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