MX23RW : Thursday, November 21 10:22:24| >> :60:56:56:
Venezuela national football team
Friendlies 1
Jun 18, 2023 at 9.30pm UK
Pratt & Whitney Stadium at Rentschler Field
Guatemala national football team

Venezuela
1 - 0
Guatemala

Herrera (80')
Pereira (35'), Herrera (83'), Rosales (89')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Sequen (7'), Aparicio (51'), Gordillo (53')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's friendly clash between Venezuela and Guatemala, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Venezuela

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last Game: Venezuela 1-0 Honduras
Friday, June 16 at 1am in International Friendlies
Current Group B Standings P GD PTS
1Brazil4810
2Peru4-27
3Colombia4-14
4Ecuador4-13
5Venezuela4-42

Guatemala

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last Game: Costa Rica 0-1 Guatemala
Friday, June 16 at 4am in International Friendlies

We said: Venezuela 1-0 Guatemala

 A tight affair could be on the cards on Sunday, but Venezuela will be regarded as the favourites to come out on top. Guatemala will hope to replicate the resilient performance shown in the win over Costa Rica, but with Rondon and Martinez potentially leading the line for Venezuela, they could just edge this contest by a slender margin. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Venezuela win with a probability of 41.56%. A win for Guatemala had a probability of 30.4% and a draw had a probability of 28%.

The most likely scoreline for a Venezuela win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.33%) and 2-0 (7.98%). The likeliest Guatemala win was 0-1 (10.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.1%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Venezuela in this match.

Result
VenezuelaDrawGuatemala
41.56% (2.048 2.05) 28.04% (0.978 0.98) 30.4% (-3.024 -3.02)
Both teams to score 46.58% (-3.812 -3.81)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.75% (-4.37 -4.37)59.25% (4.371 4.37)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.34% (-3.491 -3.49)79.66% (3.492 3.49)
Venezuela Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.92% (-0.934 -0.93)28.08% (0.935 0.94)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.26% (-1.202 -1.2)63.74% (1.203 1.2)
Guatemala Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.77% (-4.4 -4.4)35.23% (4.402 4.4)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.01% (-4.877 -4.88)71.98% (4.878 4.88)
Score Analysis
    Venezuela 41.56%
    Guatemala 30.39%
    Draw 28.03%
VenezuelaDrawGuatemala
1-0 @ 12.56% (1.65 1.65)
2-1 @ 8.33% (-0.048 -0.05)
2-0 @ 7.98% (0.865 0.87)
3-1 @ 3.53% (-0.114 -0.11)
3-0 @ 3.38% (0.286 0.29)
3-2 @ 1.84% (-0.302 -0.3)
4-1 @ 1.12% (-0.068 -0.07)
4-0 @ 1.07% (0.065 0.07)
Other @ 1.76%
Total : 41.56%
1-1 @ 13.1% (0.26 0.26)
0-0 @ 9.89% (1.523 1.52)
2-2 @ 4.34% (-0.583 -0.58)
Other @ 0.7%
Total : 28.03%
0-1 @ 10.31% (0.464 0.46)
1-2 @ 6.84% (-0.717 -0.72)
0-2 @ 5.38% (-0.41 -0.41)
1-3 @ 2.38% (-0.585 -0.59)
0-3 @ 1.87% (-0.4 -0.4)
2-3 @ 1.51% (-0.422 -0.42)
Other @ 2.1%
Total : 30.39%

How you voted: Venezuela vs Guatemala

Venezuela
65.0%
Draw
30.0%
Guatemala
5.0%
20
Head to Head
Jan 28, 2023 12am
Friendlies 1
Guatemala
P-P
Venezuela
rhs 2.0
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