International Friendly

Sep 27, 2022 at 4pm UK

Sheikh Zayed Sports City

UAE
0 - 4
Venezuela

Alzaabi (90')

FT(HT: 0-3)

Savarino (18'), Rondon (25'), Chancellor (34'), Martinez (77')
Chancellor (45'), Cumana (90+2')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's International Friendlies clash between United Arab Emirates and Venezuela, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

United Arab Emirates

Last Game: Paraguay 1-0 UAE
Friday, September 23 at 5pm in International Friendlies

Venezuela

All competitions

International Friendlies

Last Game: Venezuela 0-1 Iceland
Thursday, September 22 at 5pm in International Friendlies

Current Group B Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Brazil	4	8	10
2	Peru	4	-2	7
3	Colombia	4	-1	4
4	Ecuador	4	-1	3
5	Venezuela	4	-4	2

We said: United Arab Emirates 0-1 Venezuela

We expect a closely fought affair in Austria, with fine margins likely to decide it. Each of Venezuela's last four matches have ended 1-0 to either team, and we can envisage Pekerman's side winning by this scoreline on Monday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a United Arab Emirates win with a probability of 59.66%. A draw had a probability of 21.6% and a win for Venezuela had a probability of 18.72%.

The most likely scoreline for a United Arab Emirates win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.01%) and 2-1 (9.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.2%), while for a Venezuela win it was 0-1 (5.23%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Venezuela would win this match.

Result
United Arab Emirates	Draw	Venezuela
59.66% ( 0)	21.61% ( 0.01)	18.72% ( -0.02)

Both teams to score 54.03% (

-0.06)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

56.43% (

-0.07)

43.57% (

0.07)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

34.04% (

-0.07)

65.96% (

0.06)

United Arab Emirates Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.78% (

-0.02)

14.22% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

58.05% (

-0.04)

41.95% (

0.04)

Venezuela Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.99% (

-0.06)

37.01% (

0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.2% (

-0.06)

73.8% (

0.06)

Score Analysis

United Arab Emirates 59.65%

Venezuela 18.72%

Draw 21.61%

United Arab Emirates	Draw	Venezuela
1-0 @ 10.26% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 10.01% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 9.95% ( -0) 3-0 @ 6.51% ( 0) 3-1 @ 6.47% ( -0) 3-2 @ 3.22% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 3.18% 4-1 @ 3.16% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.57% ( -0) 5-0 @ 1.24% ( -0) 5-1 @ 1.23% ( -0) Other @ 2.87% Total : 59.65%	1-1 @ 10.2% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 5.26% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 4.95% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.07% ( -0) Other @ 0.14% Total : 21.61%	0-1 @ 5.23% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 5.07% ( -0) 0-2 @ 2.6% 1-3 @ 1.68% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.64% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.51% Total : 18.72%