World Cup

World Cup Qualifying - South America | Group Stage

Mar 25, 2022 at 11.30pm UK

Argentina
3 - 0
Venezuela

Gonzalez (34'), di Maria (79'), Messi (82')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Navarro (12'), Chancellor (67'), Herrera (69'), Rosales (71')

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The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's World Cup Qualifying - South America clash between Argentina and Venezuela, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Argentina could line up for Friday's 2022 World Cup qualifier against Venezuela.

Form, Standings, Stats

Argentina

Last Six:

Last Game: Argentina 5-0 Estonia
Sunday, June 5 at 7pm in International Friendlies

Next Game: Brazil vs. Argentina
Thursday, September 22 at 8pm in World Cup Qualifying - South America

Current Group A Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Argentina	4	5	10
2	Uruguay	4	2	7
3	Paraguay	4	2	6
4	Chile	4	-1	5
5	Bolivia	4	-8	0

Venezuela

Last Six:

Last Game: Malta 0-1 Venezuela
Wednesday, June 1 at 6pm in International Friendlies

Next Game: Saudi Arabia vs. Venezuela
Thursday, June 9 at 6pm in International Friendlies

Current Group B Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Brazil	4	8	10
2	Peru	4	-2	7
3	Colombia	4	-1	4
4	Ecuador	4	-1	3
5	Venezuela	4	-4	2

We said: Argentina 2-0 Venezuela

While Venezuela can play with no pressure in Buenos Aires, having already been eliminated, Argentina will be looking to keep their slim hopes of finishing above table toppers Brazil alive with a victory on Friday. Even though La Albiceleste have a number of absentees, we expect them to secure a routine win on home soil and extend their impressive unbeaten run. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Argentina win with a probability of 68.91%. A draw had a probability of 21.5% and a win for Venezuela had a probability of 9.58%.

The most likely scoreline for an Argentina win was 1-0 with a probability of 18.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (16.33%) and 3-0 (9.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (10.29%), while for a Venezuela win it was 0-1 (5.07%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Argentina would win this match.

Result
Argentina	Draw	Venezuela
68.91%	21.5%	9.58%

Both teams to score 32.33%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

39.69%

60.3%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

19.53%

80.47%

Argentina Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.16%

16.84%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

53.16%

46.84%

Venezuela Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

38.88%

61.12%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

8.79%

91.21%

Score Analysis

Argentina 68.91%

Venezuela 9.58%

Draw 21.5%

Argentina	Draw	Venezuela
1-0 @ 18.33% 2-0 @ 16.33% 3-0 @ 9.7% 2-1 @ 8.04% 3-1 @ 4.77% 4-0 @ 4.32% 4-1 @ 2.13% 5-0 @ 1.54% 3-2 @ 1.18% Other @ 2.58% Total : 68.91%	0-0 @ 10.29% 1-1 @ 9.03% 2-2 @ 1.98% Other @ 0.2% Total : 21.5%	0-1 @ 5.07% 1-2 @ 2.22% 0-2 @ 1.25% Other @ 1.04% Total : 9.58%