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Iraq national football team
World Cup Qualifying - Asia | Third Round
Mar 24, 2022 at 5pm UK
 
United Arab Emirates national football team

Iraq
1 - 0
UAE

Ali (53')
Faez (59')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Mabkhout (26'), Marzooq (56'), Abdalla (65'), Al Baloushi (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's World Cup Qualifying - Asia clash between Iraq and United Arab Emirates, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Syria 1-1 Iraq
Tuesday, March 29 at 2.45pm in World Cup Qualifying - Asia
Last Game: UAE 1-2 Australia
Tuesday, June 7 at 7pm in World Cup Qualifying - Asia

We said: Iraq 1-1 United Arab Emirates

This is a really intriguing clash as both countries have new managers and both can still finish in Group A's playoff spot. We think it will end all square, which would end Iraq's hopes and leave UAE going into their final game against South Korea with all to play for. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a United Arab Emirates win with a probability of 48.72%. A draw had a probability of 26.1% and a win for Iraq had a probability of 25.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a United Arab Emirates win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.26%) and 1-2 (9.21%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.34%), while for a Iraq win it was 1-0 (8.28%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood.

Result
IraqDrawUnited Arab Emirates
25.2%26.08%48.72%
Both teams to score 48.83%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.26%54.73%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.94%76.05%
Iraq Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63%37%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.21%73.79%
United Arab Emirates Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.5%22.49%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.94%56.05%
Score Analysis
    Iraq 25.2%
    United Arab Emirates 48.71%
    Draw 26.07%
IraqDrawUnited Arab Emirates
1-0 @ 8.28%
2-1 @ 6.14%
2-0 @ 4.11%
3-1 @ 2.03%
3-2 @ 1.52%
3-0 @ 1.36%
Other @ 1.76%
Total : 25.2%
1-1 @ 12.34%
0-0 @ 8.32%
2-2 @ 4.58%
Other @ 0.83%
Total : 26.07%
0-1 @ 12.41%
0-2 @ 9.26%
1-2 @ 9.21%
0-3 @ 4.61%
1-3 @ 4.58%
2-3 @ 2.28%
0-4 @ 1.72%
1-4 @ 1.71%
Other @ 2.94%
Total : 48.71%

How you voted: Iraq vs UAE

Iraq
38.3%
Draw
27.7%
United Arab Emirates
34.0%
47
Head to Head
Oct 12, 2021 5.45pm
UAE
2-2
Iraq
Caio (33'), Mabkhout (90+3')
Ramadan (36'), Abdulrahman (59')
Al-Attas (74' og.), Hussein (89')
Abdulkadhim (22'), Hussein (90')
Jan 12, 2021 3.30pm
UAE
0-0
Iraq

Salmeen (10')

Mulla Mohammad (75')
rhs 2.0
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